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整合观测和模型数据,以加深对冈比亚生计型孕妇热应激影响的理解。

Integrating observational and modelled data to advance the understanding of heat stress effects on pregnant subsistence farmers in the gambia.

机构信息

Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.

Medical Research Unit The Gambia, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, England.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Oct 23;14(1):24977. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-74614-y.

Abstract

Studies on the effect of heat stress on pregnant women are scarce, particularly in highly vulnerable populations. To support the risk assessment of pregnant subsistence farmers in the West Kiang district, The Gambia we conducted a study on the pathophysiological effects of extreme heat stress and assessed the applicability of heat stress indices. From ERA5 climate reanalysis we added location-specific modelled solar radiation to datasets of a previous observational cohort study involving on-site measurements of 92 women working in the heat. Associations between physiological and environmental variables were assessed through Pearson correlation coefficient analysis, mixed effect linear models with random intercepts per participant and confirmatory composite analysis. We found Pearson correlations between r-values of 0 and 0.54, as well as independent effects of environmental variables on skin- and tympanic temperature, but not on heart rate, within a confidence interval of 98%. Pregnant women experienced stronger pathophysiological effects from heat stress in their third rather than in their second trimester. Environmental heat stress significantly altered maternal heat strain, particularly under humid conditions above a 50% relative humidity threshold, demonstrating interactive effects. Based on our results, we recommend including heat stress indices (e.g. UTCI or WBGT) in local heat-health warning systems.

摘要

关于热应激对孕妇影响的研究很少,特别是在高度脆弱的人群中。为了支持冈比亚西康区自给农孕妇的风险评估,我们对极端热应激的病理生理学效应进行了研究,并评估了热应激指数的适用性。我们从 ERA5 气候再分析中添加了特定地点的模拟太阳辐射,以补充之前一项涉及 92 名在高温下工作的妇女现场测量的观察队列研究的数据。通过皮尔逊相关系数分析、每个参与者的随机截距混合效应线性模型和验证性综合分析评估生理和环境变量之间的关联。我们发现 r 值在 0 到 0.54 之间存在皮尔逊相关性,以及环境变量对皮肤和鼓膜温度的独立影响,但对心率没有影响,置信区间为 98%。孕妇在第三个而非第二个妊娠期中经历了更强的热应激病理生理学效应。环境热应激显著改变了母体热应激,特别是在相对湿度超过 50%阈值的潮湿条件下,显示出交互作用。基于我们的结果,我们建议在当地热健康预警系统中纳入热应激指数(如 UTCI 或 WBGT)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2a8b/11499601/e4060fe54042/41598_2024_74614_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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