Balch Jennifer K, Iglesias Virginia, Mahood Adam L, Cook Maxwell C, Amaral Cibele, DeCastro Amy, Leyk Stefan, McIntosh Tyler L, Nagy R Chelsea, St Denis Lise, Tuff Ty, Verleye Erick, Williams A Park, Kolden Crystal A
Environmental Data Science Innovation and Inclusion Lab (ESIIL), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
Department of Geography, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USA.
Science. 2024 Oct 25;386(6720):425-431. doi: 10.1126/science.adk5737. Epub 2024 Oct 24.
The most destructive and deadly wildfires in US history were also fast. Using satellite data, we analyzed the daily growth rates of more than 60,000 fires from 2001 to 2020 across the contiguous US. Nearly half of the ecoregions experienced destructive fast fires that grew more than 1620 hectares in 1 day. These fires accounted for 78% of structures destroyed and 61% of suppression costs ($18.9 billion). From 2001 to 2020, the average peak daily growth rate for these fires more than doubled (+249% relative to 2001) in the Western US. Nearly 3 million structures were within 4 kilometers of a fast fire during this period across the US. Given recent devastating wildfires, understanding fast fires is crucial for improving firefighting strategies and community preparedness.
美国历史上最具破坏性和致命性的野火蔓延速度也很快。利用卫星数据,我们分析了2001年至2020年美国本土6万多起火灾的每日增长率。近一半的生态区域经历了破坏性的快速野火,这些野火在一天内蔓延超过1620公顷。这些火灾造成了78%的建筑物被毁,以及61%的灭火成本(189亿美元)。从2001年到2020年,美国西部这些火灾的平均每日峰值增长率增长了一倍多(相对于2001年增长了249%)。在此期间,美国各地近300万座建筑物距离快速蔓延的野火不到4公里。鉴于近期发生的毁灭性野火,了解快速蔓延的野火对于改进灭火策略和社区防范至关重要。