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荷兰在 COVID-19 大流行后的剩余孤独感:应用单中断时间序列设计对大流行前、大流行中和大流行后进行观测。

Residual loneliness in the Netherlands after the COVID-19 pandemic: An application of the single interrupted time series design with pre-, peri- and post-pandemic observations.

机构信息

Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Faculty of Social Sciences, Dept. of Sociology, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Department of Epidemiology & Data Science, the Netherlands.

出版信息

Public Health. 2024 Dec;237:238-244. doi: 10.1016/j.puhe.2024.10.023. Epub 2024 Oct 29.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

During the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries implemented policies to physically separate citizens. As a consequence, an increased prevalence of loneliness was observed. This article examined whether the prevalence of loneliness in the Netherlands has returned to pre-pandemic levels after the restrictive policy was ended. We studied age differences in the course of loneliness.

STUDY DESIGN

Single interrupted time series design.

METHODS

Data were from the Longitudinal Internet Studies for the Social Sciences (age range 16-102 years) and the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam (age range 65-101 years). Both studies included respondents sampled from the Dutch population registers. Data collected relatively soon and later after the pandemic outbreak (nine and five observations in 2020-2023, respectively) were compared to extrapolated trend data based on a long period of time before the outbreak (since 2008 and 1992, respectively).

RESULTS

With two exceptions, the results of the two studies including five age categories and three types of loneliness measurement instruments showed that after an increased prevalence during the pandemic, prevalence at the last observation was at or below the level of the extrapolated trend.

CONCLUSIONS

It is highly likely that the pandemic was indeed an interruption and not a fundamental trend change in loneliness. This shows individuals' resilience and the ability to reactivate social ties after the interruptive pandemic.

摘要

目的

在 COVID-19 大流行期间,许多国家实施了使公民保持物理距离的政策。因此,孤独感的患病率有所增加。本文研究了在限制政策结束后,荷兰的孤独感患病率是否已恢复到大流行前的水平。我们研究了孤独感随年龄的变化。

研究设计

单中断时间序列设计。

方法

数据来自社会科学纵向互联网研究(年龄范围为 16-102 岁)和阿姆斯特丹纵向老龄化研究(年龄范围为 65-101 岁)。这两项研究都包括从荷兰人口登记册中抽取的受访者。在大流行爆发后不久(2020-2023 年分别为 9 次和 5 次观测)和稍后(分别基于大流行前的长时间数据进行推断)收集的数据与推断趋势数据进行了比较。

结果

除了两个例外,包括五个年龄组和三种孤独感测量工具的两项研究的结果表明,在大流行期间患病率增加后,最后一次观察的患病率处于或低于推断趋势的水平。

结论

极有可能大流行确实是孤独感的中断,而不是根本趋势的变化。这表明个人在中断的大流行后具有恢复社会联系的韧性和能力。

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