Factors predicting treatment response to biological and targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs in psoriatic arthritis - a systematic review and meta-analysis.

The therapeutic response of patients with psoriatic arthritis (PsA) varies greatly and is often unsatisfactory. Accordingly, it is essential to individualise treatment selection to minimise long-term complications. This study aimed to identify factors that might predict treatment response to biological and targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs and tsDMARDs) in patients with PsA and to outline their potential application using artificial intelligence (AI). Five electronic databases were screened to identify relevant studies. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed for factors that were investigated in at least four studies. Finally, 37 studies with a total of 17,042 patients were included. The most frequently investigated predictors in these studies were sex, age, C-reactive protein (CRP), the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ), BMI, and disease duration. The meta-analysis revealed that male sex (odds ratio (OR) = 2.188, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.912-2.503) and higher baseline CRP (1.537, 1.111-2.125) were associated with greater treatment response. Older age (0.982, 0.975-0.99), higher baseline HAQ score (0.483, 0.336-0.696), higher baseline DAPSA score (0.789, 0.663-0.938), and higher baseline tender joint count (TJC) (0.97, 0.945-0.996) were negatively correlated with the response to therapy. The other factors were not statistically significant but might be of clinical importance in the context of a complex AI test battery. Further studies are needed to validate these findings and identify novel factors that could guide personalised treatment decisions for PsA patients, in particular in developing AI applications. In accordance with the latest medical developments, decision-support tools based on supervised learning algorithms have been proposed as a clinical application of these predictors. Key messages • Given the often unsatisfactory and unpredictable therapeutic response in patients with Psoriatic Arthritis (PsA), treatment selection must be highly individualized. • A systematic literature review was conducted to identify the most reliable predictors of treatment response to biologic and targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs in PsA patients. • The potential integration of these predictors into AI tools for routine clinical practice is discussed.