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使用新型混合方法评估和管理赞比亚可再生能源投资的成本。

Assessment and management of costs for renewable energy investments in Zambia using a novel mixed method.

机构信息

School of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, 5 South Zhongguancun Street, Haidian District, Beijing, 100081, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Nov;31(54):63239-63261. doi: 10.1007/s11356-024-35371-7. Epub 2024 Oct 30.

Abstract

This paper investigates strategies for managing costs in low-CO2 renewable energy (RE) projects, with a focus on enhancing investment efficiency. The study develops a novel mixed-method framework that integrates Shapley rates, TOPSIS, and Pythagorean fuzzy (PF) DEMATEL to identify effective cost-control tactics. Data is sourced from financial reports, project records, and expert evaluations involving three managers from the energy sector with over two decades of experience in renewable energy investments and CO2 emission reduction. The framework's precision is tested through the VIKOR technique and sensitivity analysis, using five scenarios where the weighting outcomes of criteria are adjusted. Findings reveal that solar energy consistently offers the most cost-effective solutions, while consumer prioritization significantly improves the viability of wind energy investments. The results also emphasize the importance of workforce development in solar energy projects and collaborative cost-control strategies to enhance project success. The study recommends that investors focus on high- or low-level collaborative approaches for solar energy due to its lower associated costs compared to other options. These insights can guide policymakers and investors in optimizing renewable energy investments and enhancing collaboration to reduce CO2 emissions.

摘要

本文研究了低碳可再生能源(RE)项目成本管理策略,重点关注提高投资效率。研究采用了一种新颖的混合方法框架,该框架集成了 Shapley 率、TOPSIS 和 Pythagorean 模糊(PF)DEMATEL 来识别有效的成本控制策略。数据来源于财务报告、项目记录以及涉及能源领域的三位经理的专家评估,这些经理在可再生能源投资和二氧化碳减排方面拥有超过二十年的经验。通过 VIKOR 技术和敏感性分析对框架的精度进行了测试,在五个调整标准权重结果的场景中进行了测试。研究结果表明,太阳能始终提供最具成本效益的解决方案,而消费者的优先级排序则极大地提高了风能投资的可行性。研究结果还强调了在太阳能项目中发展劳动力和采取协作成本控制策略对于提高项目成功的重要性。研究建议投资者关注高或低水平的太阳能协作方法,因为与其他选择相比,太阳能的相关成本较低。这些见解可以为政策制定者和投资者提供指导,以优化可再生能源投资并加强合作以减少二氧化碳排放。

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