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按照可持续发展目标评估和衡量中国的碳排放效率。

Assessing and gauging the carbon emission efficiency in China in accordance with the sustainable development goals.

作者信息

Zhang Yuhan, Yang Yirui, Ye Wei, Chen Mo, Gu Xinchen, Li Xue, Jiang Pan, Liu Liang

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Southwest University of Science and Technology, Mianyang, 621010, China.

School of Environment and Resource, Southwest University of Science and Technology, Mianyang, 621010, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Oct 29;14(1):25993. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-75903-2.

Abstract

In light of the growing urgency of climate change, carbon emissions reduction has emerged as a pivotal concern within global governance. In this paper, we take carbon emission efficiency (CEE) as the research object to characterize the relationship between economic, social, and environmental development in the context of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). According to the regional division standard of eight comprehensive economic zones in China, this paper analyzed the spatial differences, evolutionary characteristics, and influencing factors of CEE in 257 Chinese cities over the period 2003-2019. The analysis conducted the Dagum Gini Coefficient, Markov Transition Probability Matrix, and geographically and temporally weighted regression model (GTWR). The results demonstrate that: (1) The CEE of Chinese cities exhibits an upward trajectory. (2) The inter-differences among the eight comprehensive economic zones represent the primary spatial source of CEE divergence. (3) The CEE of Chinese cities is a staged process of gradual enhancement with spatial spillover effects. (4) Environmental regulation, energy consumption intensity, and green finances are significant factors affecting CEE, and the direction and intensity of their influence have distinct spatial heterogeneity. Ultimately, this paper proposes measures to narrow the development gap between regions and enhance the CEE across the region. Meanwhile, implementing regional refinement management and formulating differentiated regional sustainable development planning.

摘要

鉴于气候变化的紧迫性日益增加,碳排放减少已成为全球治理中的一个关键问题。在本文中,我们以碳排放效率(CEE)为研究对象,以表征可持续发展目标(SDGs)背景下经济、社会和环境发展之间的关系。根据中国八大综合经济区的区域划分标准,本文分析了2003-2019年期间中国257个城市的碳排放效率的空间差异、演变特征及影响因素。分析采用了达古姆基尼系数、马尔可夫转移概率矩阵和地理加权回归模型(GTWR)。结果表明:(1)中国城市的碳排放效率呈上升趋势。(2)八大综合经济区之间的差异是碳排放效率差异的主要空间来源。(3)中国城市的碳排放效率是一个具有空间溢出效应的逐步提升的阶段过程。(4)环境规制、能源消费强度和绿色金融是影响碳排放效率的重要因素,其影响方向和强度具有明显的空间异质性。最终,本文提出了缩小区域发展差距、提高区域碳排放效率的措施。同时,实施区域精细化管理,制定差异化的区域可持续发展规划。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ee1e/11522322/4028f90d8c11/41598_2024_75903_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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