Chen Heng, Lin Xianglong, Guo Yuan, Yang Yumei
School of Management, Xi'an Polytechnic University, Xi'an, China.
Sci Rep. 2024 Nov 4;14(1):26674. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-78484-2.
To assess the impact of China's regional emergency logistics response capabilities on economic growth sustainability, this study develops a set of comprehensive indicators. It applies the entropy weight method combined with the TOPSIS method to evaluate these capabilities across regions. Based on panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021, this study employs panel models, panel quantile regression, and panel threshold models to analyze the impact of emergency logistics response capability on sustainable economic growth. By measuring the regional emergency logistics response capability and examining its effects on the sustainability of economic growth, this research provides foreign investors with a clearer understanding of the ability of different regions in China to handle unexpected public incidents. This, in turn, helps reduce investment uncertainty, mitigate certain risks, and offers valuable insights for enhancing the efficiency of international investments in China. Key findings are: (1) Since 2018, the establishment of the Ministry of Emergency Management has significantly improved China's regional emergency logistics capabilities, with the eastern region outperforming the central and western regions. (2) Enhancing China's emergency logistics response capability helps improve the sustainability level of economic growth. This reflects how China's emergency management departments can mitigate the adverse impacts of public emergencies on economic growth by transforming social logistics into emergency logistics. (3) As emergency response capabilities have strengthened, their impact on economic sustainability initially decreased but later increased.
为评估中国区域应急物流响应能力对经济增长可持续性的影响,本研究构建了一套综合指标体系。运用熵权法结合TOPSIS法对各地区的应急物流响应能力进行评价。基于2012年至2021年中国30个省份的面板数据,本研究采用面板模型、面板分位数回归和面板门槛模型,分析应急物流响应能力对经济可持续增长的影响。通过衡量区域应急物流响应能力并考察其对经济增长可持续性的影响,本研究为外国投资者更清晰地了解中国不同地区应对突发公共事件的能力提供了依据。这反过来有助于降低投资不确定性,减轻特定风险,并为提高在中国的国际投资效率提供有价值的见解。主要研究结果如下:(1)自2018年应急管理部成立以来,中国区域应急物流能力显著提升,东部地区表现优于中部和西部地区。(2)提升中国应急物流响应能力有助于提高经济增长的可持续性水平。这体现了中国应急管理部门如何通过将社会物流转化为应急物流,减轻公共突发事件对经济增长的不利影响。(3)随着应急响应能力的增强,其对经济可持续性的影响起初下降,但随后上升。