Childhood maltreatment and chronic "all over" body pain in adulthood: a counterfactual analysis using UK Biobank.

Evidence linking adverse childhood experiences and chronic pain in adulthood is largely cross-sectional, potentially subject to recall bias and does not allow exploration of mediating pathways. We analysed a large population-based cohort (UK Biobank) using a causal framework, to determine if childhood maltreatment is related to chronic "all over" body pain in adulthood. We used doubly robust estimation with inverse probability weights to estimate the difference in risk of chronic pain "all over" between those exposed/not exposed to childhood maltreatment (abuse or neglect). In addition, we looked at interaction with adult stressful life events and examined mediation using inverse odds weighting in a generalized linear model. Using cases with complete data (n = 118,347), the risk of chronic "all over" body pain was higher in the exposed (6.3%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.0%-6.5%) than in the unexposed (4.0%; 95% CI 3.8%-4.2%). This difference remained in analyses stratified by sex. Conversely, when analyses were repeated with a negative control exposure, childhood sunburn, risk differences were 0.8% in women (95% CI 0.3%-1.3%) and 0.5% in men (95% CI 0.1%-0.9%). Childhood maltreatment and adult life events had similar effects, and there was a supra-additive risk (1.2%; 95% CI 0.6-1.7) when experiencing both. In mediation analyses, the total effect was a relative risk of 1.57 (95% CI 1.49-1.66), while the estimated indirect effect via all mediators was relative risk 1.16 (95% CI 1.14-1.18). Reducing childhood maltreatment would likely prevent cases of chronic widespread pain in adulthood. Stressful adult events and mediators may offer opportunities for intervention.