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中国城市景观火灾细颗粒物与特定心血管疾病的住院相关性。

Landscape fire PM and hospital admissions for cause-specific cardiovascular disease in urban China.

机构信息

Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health (Incubating), School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, No.13 Hangkong Road, Wuhan, China.

Climate, Air Quality Research Unit, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2024 Nov 6;15(1):9604. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-54095-3.

Abstract

There is a growing interest in the health impacts of PM originating from landscape fires. We conducted a time-series study to investigate the association between daily exposure to landscape fire PM and hospital admissions for cardiovascular events in 184 major Chinese cities. We developed a machine learning model combining outputs from chemical transport models, meteorological information and observed air pollution data to determine daily concentrations of landscape fire PM. Furthermore, we fitted quasi-Poisson regression to evaluate the link between landscape fire PM concentrations and cardiovascular hospitalizations in each city, and conducted random-effects meta-analysis to pool the city-specific estimates. Here we show that, on a national scale, a rise of 1-μg/m in landscape fire PM concentrations is positively related to a same-day 0.16% (95% confidence interval: 0.01%-0.32%) increase in hospital admissions for cardiovascular disease, 0.28% (0.12%-0.44%) for ischemic heart disease, and 0.25% (0.02%-0.47%) for ischemic stroke. The associations remain significant even after adjusting for other sources of PM. Our findings indicate that transient elevation in landscape fire PM levels may increase risk of cardiovascular diseases.

摘要

人们越来越关注源自景观火灾的 PM 对健康的影响。我们进行了一项时间序列研究,以调查每日暴露于景观火灾 PM 与中国 184 个主要城市心血管事件住院之间的关联。我们开发了一种机器学习模型,该模型结合了化学传输模型、气象信息和观测到的空气污染数据的输出,以确定每日景观火灾 PM 的浓度。此外,我们拟合了拟泊松回归来评估每个城市景观火灾 PM 浓度与心血管疾病住院之间的联系,并进行了随机效应荟萃分析以汇总特定城市的估计值。在这里,我们表明,在全国范围内,景观火灾 PM 浓度每升高 1μg/m,与心血管疾病住院的当日增加 0.16%(95%置信区间:0.01%-0.32%)、缺血性心脏病增加 0.28%(0.12%-0.44%)和缺血性中风增加 0.25%(0.02%-0.47%)呈正相关。即使在调整了其他 PM 源后,这些关联仍然显著。我们的研究结果表明,景观火灾 PM 水平的短暂升高可能会增加患心血管疾病的风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7b20/11542041/e63b99fc5d74/41467_2024_54095_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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