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空气污染与避险行为:来自中国交易数据的证据。

Air pollution and defensive behavior: Evidence from transaction data in China.

机构信息

School of Finance, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

School of Business, Ningbotech University, Ningbo, Zhejiang, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Nov 7;19(11):e0307295. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0307295. eCollection 2024.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0307295
PMID:39509394
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11542840/
Abstract

This study presents empirical research about the defensive behavior of air pollution, that is, health insurance purchases. Using transaction-level data from a large insurance company, covering more than half a million insurance contracts from nineteen cities in China from 2014 to 2018, we empirically imply that an increase of 10% in AQI leads to a 0.37% uptick in the number of daily sales of health insurance contracts by the company within the city. The effect is non-linear and is more pronounced when the AQI exceeds 200. Besides, the defensive cost for a one-unit increase in AQI accounts for around 1.70% of individual income annually. We demonstrate that the positive impact of air pollution on health insurance purchases is primarily driven by health management awareness and social interaction.

摘要

本研究提出了有关空气污染(即健康保险购买)防御行为的实证研究。利用一家大型保险公司的交易级数据,涵盖了 2014 年至 2018 年中国 19 个城市的超过 50 万份保险合同,我们实证表明,空气质量指数(AQI)每增加 10%,该公司在城市内的健康保险合同日销售量就会增加 0.37%。这种影响是非线性的,当 AQI 超过 200 时,影响更为明显。此外,AQI 每增加一个单位,防御成本占个人年收入的 1.70%左右。我们证明,空气污染对健康保险购买的积极影响主要是由健康管理意识和社会互动驱动的。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/92d0/11542840/e643adab1d6f/pone.0307295.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/92d0/11542840/7699d3e4cf3d/pone.0307295.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/92d0/11542840/4ed0910d18ac/pone.0307295.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/92d0/11542840/e643adab1d6f/pone.0307295.g003.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/92d0/11542840/7699d3e4cf3d/pone.0307295.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/92d0/11542840/4ed0910d18ac/pone.0307295.g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/92d0/11542840/e643adab1d6f/pone.0307295.g003.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Effect of air pollution on household insurance purchases. Evidence from China household finance survey data.空气污染对家庭保险购买的影响。来自中国家庭金融调查数据的证据。
PLoS One. 2020 Nov 12;15(11):e0242282. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0242282. eCollection 2020.
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Mitigating the air pollution effect? The remarkable decline in the pollution-mortality relationship in Hong Kong.减轻空气污染的影响?香港污染与死亡率关系的显著下降。
J Environ Econ Manage. 2020 May;101:102316. doi: 10.1016/j.jeem.2020.102316. Epub 2020 Mar 5.
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The winter choke: Coal-Fired heating, air pollution, and mortality in China.
冬季窒息:中国的燃煤取暖、空气污染与死亡率。
J Health Econ. 2020 May;71:102316. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2020.102316. Epub 2020 Mar 6.
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Has third-party monitoring improved environmental data quality? An analysis of air pollution data in China.第三方监测是否提高了环境数据质量?对中国空气污染数据的分析。
J Environ Manage. 2020 Jan 1;253:109698. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2019.109698. Epub 2019 Nov 5.
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Declines in mental health associated with air pollution and temperature variability in China.中国的空气污染和温度变化与心理健康下降有关。
Nat Commun. 2019 May 15;10(1):2165. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-10196-y.
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Short-term impact of PM on contemporaneous asthma medication use: Behavior and the value of pollution reductions.短期 PM 对同期哮喘药物使用的影响:行为与污染减排的价值。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Mar 19;116(12):5246-5253. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1805647115. Epub 2018 Nov 26.
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New evidence on the impact of sustained exposure to air pollution on life expectancy from China's Huai River Policy.新证据表明,中国“淮河流域政策”对预期寿命的影响与持续暴露在空气污染下有关。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2017 Sep 26;114(39):10384-10389. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1616784114. Epub 2017 Sep 11.
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Health Insurance Coverage and Health - What the Recent Evidence Tells Us.医疗保险覆盖范围与健康——近期证据告诉我们的情况。
N Engl J Med. 2017 Aug 10;377(6):586-593. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsb1706645. Epub 2017 Jun 21.
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Global Estimates of Fine Particulate Matter using a Combined Geophysical-Statistical Method with Information from Satellites, Models, and Monitors.利用地球物理统计方法结合卫星、模型和监测器信息对细颗粒物进行全球估算。
Environ Sci Technol. 2016 Apr 5;50(7):3762-72. doi: 10.1021/acs.est.5b05833. Epub 2016 Mar 24.
10
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