Admon Lindsay K, MacCallum-Bridges Colleen, Daw Jamie R
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology and Institute for Healthcare Policy and Innovation, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan; and Department of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York.
Obstet Gynecol. 2025 Jan 1;145(1):82-90. doi: 10.1097/AOG.0000000000005784. Epub 2024 Nov 7.
To measure contemporary trends in the prevalence of short interpregnancy interval (IPI) births in the United States.
We conducted a repeated cross-sectional analysis using 2016-2022 natality data from the National Vital Statistics System. We included all singleton live births to individuals with at least one prior live birth. We examined trends over time in short IPIs less than 18 months, as well as for specific durations within this time frame (less than 6 months, 6-11 months, and 12-17 months), using linear probability models that estimated changes in the prevalence of each IPI duration over time. We then estimated the prevalence of each short IPI duration by maternal race and ethnicity, socioeconomic characteristics (age, education, insurance payer at delivery), and geography (U.S. census region, state of residence).
The study sample included 14,770,411 singleton live births to individuals with at least one prior live birth in 2016-2022. Roughly a third (29.8%) of births had an overall IPI of less than 18 months (5.0% less than 6 months, 11.0% 6-11 months, and 13.8% 12-17 months). For IPIs less than 6 months, a slight statistical decline in prevalence was identified over the study period in unadjusted and adjusted models (adjusted annual percentage point change -0.02, 95% CI, -0.03 to -0.02). Slight statistical increases in the prevalence of IPIs of 6-11 and 12-17 months were identified in unadjusted models but were no longer significant and reversed direction in adjusted models, respectively. Long-standing inequities in the distribution of the shortest IPIs (less than 6 months) were stable compared with prior work across the indicators examined in this study.
Overall, it appears the prevalence of short IPIs has remained stable between 2016 and 2022.
衡量美国短生育间隔(IPI)分娩患病率的当代趋势。
我们使用国家生命统计系统2016 - 2022年的出生数据进行了重复横断面分析。我们纳入了所有有至少一次既往活产的个体的单胎活产。我们使用线性概率模型来估计每个IPI持续时间的患病率随时间的变化,以此研究短于18个月的IPI随时间的趋势,以及该时间范围内的特定持续时间(少于6个月、6 - 11个月和12 - 17个月)。然后,我们按产妇种族和族裔、社会经济特征(年龄、教育程度、分娩时的保险支付方)以及地理位置(美国人口普查区域、居住州)估计每个短IPI持续时间的患病率。
研究样本包括2016 - 2022年有至少一次既往活产的个体的14,770,411例单胎活产。大约三分之一(29.8%)的分娩IPI总体短于18个月(5.0%短于6个月,11.0%为6 - 11个月,13.8%为12 - 17个月)。对于短于6个月的IPI,在未调整和调整模型中,研究期间患病率出现轻微统计学下降(调整后的年度百分点变化为 - 0.02,95%置信区间为 - 0.03至 - 0.02)。在未调整模型中,6 - 11个月和12 - 17个月的IPI患病率出现轻微统计学上升,但在调整模型中分别不再显著且方向相反。与本研究中所考察指标的先前研究相比,最短IPI(少于6个月)分布中的长期不平等现象保持稳定。
总体而言,2016年至2022年期间,短IPI的患病率似乎保持稳定。