Respiratory Virus Section, Immunisation and Vaccine-Preventable Diseases Division, Public Health Programmes, United Kingdom Health Security Agency (UKHSA), London, United Kingdom.
Euro Surveill. 2024 Nov;29(45). doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696.
We developed a new activity level setting threshold method, the mean standard deviation (MSD) method to quantify COVID-19 activity levels. This has been validated against the moving epidemic method (MEM), which has been used for influenza for many years, and we observed very similar results. The MSD method can prove to be a tool to use for respiratory viruses with limited historical data or seasonality to quantify activity levels when other respiratory viruses are also circulating.
我们开发了一种新的活动水平设定阈值方法,即均数标准差 (MSD) 方法,用于量化 COVID-19 的活动水平。该方法已通过多年来用于流感的移动疫情法 (MEM) 进行了验证,我们观察到非常相似的结果。当其他呼吸道病毒也在传播时,MSD 方法可以成为一种工具,用于在有限的历史数据或季节性情况下量化具有呼吸道病毒的活动水平。