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不平等与自由民主根基的侵蚀。

Inequality and the eroding base of liberal democracy.

作者信息

Lee Sang Kyung

机构信息

Department of Sociology, Sogang University, South Korea.

出版信息

Soc Sci Res. 2024 Nov;124:103087. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2024.103087. Epub 2024 Oct 1.

DOI:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2024.103087
PMID:39542601
Abstract

Previous studies broadly agree that economic inequality is negatively associated with popular support for democracy. This paper tackles this belief, testing it with more informative hypotheses. Capturing the insight from the theories of democratic attitudes and learning, this paper posits that increasing inequality would have differential effects on citizens' normative support for democracy and their authoritarian inclination, and that those effects would also differ across the democratic regimes. Analyzing World Values Survey data covering 41 democracies over up to 25 years (1995-2020), this paper finds very little evidence for the association between inequality and normative support for democracy, whereas unearthing strong evidence for a varying effect of inequality on authoritarian inclination across the democratic regimes. It turns out where inequality is more severe, citizens in liberal democracies are more attracted to authoritarian leaders, whereas those in electoral democracies are less so. My findings refine the predominant thesis on the negative relationship between inequality and democratic support, detecting the complexities underlying it. My findings also shed new light on the theory of democratic learning and socialization by revealing the potential role of democratic regimes that remained unexplored in prior study. Lastly, this study provides a concrete explanation for how authoritarian leaders could win growing popular support in recent years where liberal democracy had most flourished.

摘要

以往的研究大致认为,经济不平等与民众对民主的支持呈负相关。本文对这一观点提出质疑,并用更具信息量的假设对其进行检验。本文借鉴民主态度和学习理论的见解,认为不平等加剧对公民对民主的规范性支持及其威权倾向会产生不同影响,而且这些影响在不同民主政权中也会有所不同。通过分析涵盖41个民主国家长达25年(1995年至2020年)的世界价值观调查数据,本文发现几乎没有证据表明不平等与对民主的规范性支持之间存在关联,而有强有力的证据表明不平等对不同民主政权中的威权倾向有不同影响。结果表明,在不平等更为严重的地方,自由民主国家的公民更容易被威权领导人吸引,而选举民主国家的公民则不然。我的研究结果细化了关于不平等与民主支持之间负相关的主流观点,揭示了其背后的复杂性。我的研究结果还通过揭示先前研究中未被探索的民主政权的潜在作用,为民主学习和社会化理论提供了新的视角。最后,本研究具体解释了威权领导人近年来如何在自由民主最为繁荣的地方赢得越来越多民众的支持。

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