Rapid Eutrophication of a Clearwater Lake: Trends and Potential Causes Inferred From Phosphorus Mass Balance Analyses.

Many clearwater lakes increasingly show symptoms of eutrophication, but the underlying causes are largely unknown. We combined long-term water chemistry data, multi-year sediment trap measurements, sediment analyses and simple mass balance models to elucidate potential causes of eutrophication of a deep temperate clearwater lake, where total phosphorus (TP) concentrations quadrupled within a decade, accompanied by expanding hypolimnetic anoxia. Discrepancies between modeled and empirically determined P inputs suggest that the observed sharp rise in TP was driven by internal processes. The magnitude of seasonal variation in TP greatly increased at the same time, both in surface and deep water, partly decoupled from deep water oxygen conditions. A positive correlation between annual P loss from the upper water column and hypolimnetic P accumulation could hint at a short-circuited P cycle involving lateral TP transport from shallow-water zones and deposition and release from sediments in deep water. This hypothesis is also supported by P budgets for the upper 20 m during stable summer stratification, suggesting that sediments in shallow lake areas acted as a P net source until 2018. These changes are potentially related to shifts in submerged macrophytes from wintergreen charophyte meadows (Nitellopsis obtusa) to annual free-floating hornwort (Ceratophyllum demersum) and to increased sulfide formation, promoting iron fixation in the sediments. Iron bound to sulfur is unavailable for binding P, resulting in a positive feedback between P release in shallow lake areas, primary productivity, macrophyte community structure and redox-dependent sediment biogeochemistry. Overall, our results suggest that relationships more complex than the commonly invoked increase in internal P release under increasingly anoxic conditions can drive rapid lake eutrophication. Since the proportion of littoral areas is typically large even in deep stratified lakes, littoral processes may contribute more frequently to the rapid lake eutrophication trends observed around the world than is currently recognized.