Luo Bin, Dou Xiangsheng
Department of Economic Management, Beijing Vocational College of Agriculture, Beijing, China.
School of Economics and Management, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China.
Heliyon. 2024 Oct 31;10(21):e40008. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40008. eCollection 2024 Nov 15.
Against the backdrop of increasingly severe global climate change, it has become an inevitable choice to promote the transformation of agriculture oriented to climate smart agriculture. The objective of this paper is to demonstrate realistic problem faced by China's agricultural transformation and identify key factors affecting agricultural development under the background of climate change. The paper constructs a linear econometric model and employes time series data from 1990 to 2019 to empirically test the impact of climate change and agricultural investment on agriculture in China. The results indicate that climate change has a negative impact on agriculture, while agricultural investment has a positive impact. Therefore, it is necessary to promote agricultural transformation oriented to climate smart agriculture. To this end, China must vigorously promote agricultural system reform, accelerate agricultural technological innovation, accelerate the development of agricultural big data and informatization, and strengthen financial support for agriculture.
在全球气候变化日益严峻的背景下，推动农业向气候智能型农业转型已成为必然选择。本文旨在论证中国农业转型面临的现实问题，并识别气候变化背景下影响农业发展的关键因素。本文构建了一个线性计量模型，并运用1990年至2019年的时间序列数据，对气候变化和农业投资对中国农业的影响进行实证检验。结果表明，气候变化对农业有负面影响，而农业投资有正面影响。因此，有必要推动向气候智能型农业转型的农业变革。为此，中国必须大力推进农业体制改革，加速农业技术创新，加快农业大数据和信息化发展，并加强对农业的金融支持。
