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评估俄罗斯入侵对乌克兰农业的初步影响:挑战、政策应对及未来前景。

Assessing the initial impact of the Russian invasion on Ukrainian agriculture: Challenges, policy responses, and future prospects.

作者信息

Nehrey Maryna, Finger Robert

机构信息

Agricultural Economics and Policy Group, ETH Zurich, Sonneggstrasse, 33, Zurich, 8092, Switzerland.

Department of Economic Cybernetics, National University of Life and Environment Science of Ukraine, Heroiv Oborony, 15, Kyiv, 03041, Ukraine.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Oct 25;10(21):e39208. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e39208. eCollection 2024 Nov 15.

Abstract

The war in Ukraine has caused significant losses to the Ukrainian agricultural sector and threatened global food security. This study aims to comprehensively analyse the impact of the Russian invasion on Ukrainian agriculture in its initial phase, examine the responses of Ukrainian agricultural policy and outline key elements for the post-war development of the Ukrainian agricultural sector. Using a systematic approach that includes thorough data collection and analysis from official sources, the Ukrainian press, relevant legislation and statistical data, our study focuses on the first five months of the conflict, from February 24, 2022 to July 24, 2022, to identify the main challenges during this period. The agricultural policy analysis shows that the Ukrainian government has adopted a reactive approach, including tax simplification, affordable credit, deregulation, financial support for the agricultural sector, reduced prices for inputs and resources to support farmers, and improvements in logistics. Critical factors identified for post-war development include repatriation and agricultural education, support for small and medium-sized farms, integration into global markets, emphasis on organic practices and sustainable development, and digitalization in agriculture. The integration of a systematic overview of the Ukrainian agricultural sector and an analysis of key elements of post-war development provides essential insights for policy-makers and researchers concerned with the impact of war on the agricultural sector and food security.

摘要

俄乌冲突给乌克兰农业部门造成了重大损失,并威胁到全球粮食安全。本研究旨在全面分析俄罗斯入侵初期对乌克兰农业的影响,审视乌克兰农业政策的应对措施,并概述乌克兰农业部门战后发展的关键要素。我们的研究采用系统方法,包括从官方来源、乌克兰媒体、相关立法和统计数据中进行全面的数据收集和分析,重点关注冲突的前五个月,即2022年2月24日至2022年7月24日,以确定这一时期的主要挑战。农业政策分析表明,乌克兰政府采取了应对措施,包括简化税收、提供负担得起的信贷、放松管制、对农业部门的财政支持、降低投入和资源价格以支持农民,以及改善物流。确定的战后发展关键因素包括人员遣返和农业教育、对中小型农场的支持、融入全球市场、强调有机生产方式和可持续发展,以及农业数字化。对乌克兰农业部门进行系统概述并分析战后发展关键要素,为关注战争对农业部门和粮食安全影响的政策制定者和研究人员提供了重要见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fb04/11570306/9e2644971c28/gr1.jpg

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