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船舶碰撞风险威胁全球海洋中的鲸鱼。

Ship collision risk threatens whales across the world's oceans.

机构信息

Center for Ecosystem Sentinels, Department of Biology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Institute of Marine Science, University of California Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz, CA, USA.

出版信息

Science. 2024 Nov 22;386(6724):870-875. doi: 10.1126/science.adp1950. Epub 2024 Nov 21.

Abstract

After the near-complete cessation of commercial whaling, ship collisions have emerged as a primary threat to large whales, but knowledge of collision risk is lacking across most of the world's oceans. We compiled a dataset of 435,000 whale locations to generate global distribution models for four globally ranging species. We then combined >35 billion positions from 176,000 ships to produce a global estimate of whale-ship collision risk. Shipping occurs across 92% of whale ranges, and <7% of risk hotspots contain management strategies to reduce collisions. Full coverage of hotspots could be achieved by expanding management over only 2.6% of the ocean's surface. These inferences support the continued recovery of large whales against the backdrop of a rapidly growing shipping industry.

摘要

在商业捕鲸近乎完全停止后,船舶碰撞已成为大型鲸鱼的主要威胁,但在世界上大多数海洋中,对碰撞风险的了解还很缺乏。我们编制了一个包含 43.5 万条鲸鱼位置的数据组,为四种全球分布的物种生成了全球分布模型。然后,我们结合了来自 176,000 艘船的超过 350 亿个位置,生成了全球范围内鲸鱼与船舶碰撞风险的估计。航运活动遍及 92%的鲸鱼分布区域,而风险热点区域中只有不到 7%包含了降低碰撞风险的管理策略。通过仅扩大对海洋表面 2.6%的管理范围,就可以实现对热点区域的全面覆盖。这些推断支持在航运业快速发展的背景下,大型鲸鱼的持续恢复。

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