Bronchoalveolar lavage cytokine-based risk stratification of clinically-stable lung transplant recipients with undefined rejection: Further insights from a follow-up investigation.

BACKGROUND

Surveillance bronchoscopies with bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) and transbronchial biopsies (TBB) are primarily used to detect acute cellular rejection (ACR) or infection in lung transplant (LTx) recipients. We previously identified a BAL protein signature associated with chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD) or death/retransplant in patients with stable minimal (grade A1) ACR. This present study aimed to determine whether similar BAL biomarkers predict outcomes in stable patients when ACR grade is undetermined.

METHODS

The cohort included all adult, first bilateral LTx performed 2010-2017. Clinical status was categorized as unstable or stable based on the presence or absence of a ≥ 10% drop in FEV1. Clinically-stable patients with grade AX TBB (inadequate biopsies) during the first year post-transplant, not preceded by ACR (grade A≥1 or B≥1), were included. IL6, S100A8, IL10, TNF-receptor-1, IL1α, pentraxin3, and CXCL10 were measured in the BAL using a multiplex bead assay. Associations with subsequent CLAD or death/retransplant were assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for relevant clinical covariates.

RESULTS

Among 107 patients with stable AX biopsies at a median of 188 days post-transplant, the median times from biopsy to CLAD and death/retransplant were 972 and 1410 days, respectively. CXCL10 was significantly associated with CLAD, while IL6, S100A8, pentraxin3, TNF-receptor-1, and IL10 were associated with death/retransplant (p < 0.05 for all).

CONCLUSION

A focused BAL protein signature in stable patients with ungradable TBB early post-transplant may predict worse outcomes. Such select BAL biomarkers may identify patients who require more aggressive management strategies or closer monitoring.