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城市间企业联系与城市经济指标的规模效应

Inter-city firm connections and the scaling of urban economic indicators.

作者信息

Yang Vicky Chuqiao, Jackson Jacob J, Kempes Christopher P

机构信息

MIT Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.

Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA.

出版信息

PNAS Nexus. 2024 Nov 9;3(11):pgae503. doi: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgae503. eCollection 2024 Nov.

Abstract

Cities exhibit consistent returns to scale in economic outputs, and urban scaling analysis is widely adopted to uncover common mechanisms in cities' socioeconomic productivity. Leading theories view cities as closed systems, with returns to scale arising from intra-city social interactions. Here, we argue that the interactions between cities, particularly via shared organizations such as firms, significantly influence a city's economic output. By examining global data on city connectivity through multinational firms alongside urban scaling Gross Domestic Product (GDP) statistics from the United States, EU, and China, we establish that global connectivity notably enhances GDP, while controlling for population. After accounting for global connectivity, the effect of population on GDP is no longer distinguishable from linear. To differentiate between local and global mechanisms, we analyzed homicide case data, anticipating dominant local effects. As expected, inter-city connectivity showed no significant impact. Our research highlights that inter-city effects affect some urban outputs more than others. This empirical analysis lays the groundwork for incorporating inter-city organizational connections into urban scaling theories and could inform future model development.

摘要

城市在经济产出方面呈现出一致的规模收益,城市规模分析被广泛用于揭示城市社会经济生产力中的共同机制。主流理论将城市视为封闭系统,规模收益源于城市内部的社会互动。在此,我们认为城市之间的互动,尤其是通过企业等共享组织的互动,会显著影响城市的经济产出。通过研究跨国公司的全球城市连通性数据以及美国、欧盟和中国的城市规模国内生产总值(GDP)统计数据,我们发现全球连通性在控制人口因素后显著提高了GDP。在考虑全球连通性之后,人口对GDP的影响不再与线性关系有明显区别。为了区分本地和全球机制,我们分析了凶杀案数据,预期会有显著的本地效应。不出所料,城市间连通性没有显示出显著影响。我们的研究强调,城市间效应对某些城市产出的影响大于其他产出。这一实证分析为将城市间组织联系纳入城市规模理论奠定了基础,并可为未来的模型发展提供参考。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3644/11579658/ca26ad96856f/pgae503f1.jpg

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