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中国系统性红斑狼疮住院患者营养因素调查及营养不良风险预测模型研究

Investigation of Nutritional Factors and Malnutrition Risk Prediction Model in Hospitalized Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in China.

作者信息

Xia Lijuan, Yang Fanxing, Hayashi Naoko, Ma Yuan, Yan Bin, Du Yingxin, Chen Sujuan, Xia Yuke, Feng Fang, Ma Zhifang

机构信息

Department of Radiotherapy, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, People's Republic of China.

Department of Oncology Nursing and Palliative Care/ Chronic Illness and Conditions Nursing, St. Luke's International University, Tokyo, Japan.

出版信息

J Inflamm Res. 2024 Nov 16;17:8891-8904. doi: 10.2147/JIR.S486792. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Nutritional status is a critical indicator of overall health and immune function, significantly influencing treatment outcomes. Despite its importance, the nutritional status of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) often receives insufficient attention. This study aims to evaluate the nutritional status of patients with SLE, identify factors associated with malnutrition, and develop a risk prediction model for malnutrition in this population.

METHODS

We collected clinical data from a convenience sample of SLE patients at a general hospital in Ningxia Province, China, between January and December 2022. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the independent risk factors for malnutrition. A risk prediction model was constructed and evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

This study included 420 patients with SLE (mean age: 41.43 years, 91.7% women), of whom 46.2% were malnourished based on their serum albumin levels. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified monthly income (=0.192, <0.05), sleep quality (=2.559, <0.05), kidney involvement (=4.269, <0.05), disease activity (=2.743, <0.05), leukocyte count (=1.576, <0.05), lymphocyte count (=0.393, <0.05), hemoglobin (=0.972, <0.05), complement C3 (=0.802, <0.05), and complement C4 (=0.493, <0.05) as independent risk factors for malnutrition. The prediction model showed good predictive value with an area under the ROC curve of 0.895 (95% CI: 0.823-0.840), sensitivity of 0.907, and specificity of 0.827. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated a good model fit (=10.779, =0.215).

DISCUSSION

Malnutrition is a significant concern among SLE patients, influenced by a range of socioeconomic and clinical factors. Our risk prediction model, with its high sensitivity and specificity, provides a robust tool for early identification of malnutrition in this population. Implementing this model in clinical practice can guide healthcare providers in prioritizing at-risk patients, enabling proactive nutritional interventions that could potentially improve clinical outcomes, enhance quality of life, and reduce healthcare costs associated with SLE.

摘要

引言

营养状况是整体健康和免疫功能的关键指标,对治疗结果有重大影响。尽管其很重要,但系统性红斑狼疮(SLE)患者的营养状况往往未得到足够重视。本研究旨在评估SLE患者的营养状况,确定与营养不良相关的因素,并建立该人群营养不良的风险预测模型。

方法

我们收集了2022年1月至12月期间在中国宁夏回族自治区一家综合医院方便抽样的SLE患者的临床数据。进行单因素和多因素逻辑回归分析以确定营养不良的独立危险因素。使用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线构建并评估风险预测模型。

结果

本研究纳入了420例SLE患者(平均年龄:41.43岁,91.7%为女性),根据血清白蛋白水平,其中46.2%存在营养不良。多因素逻辑回归分析确定月收入(β = 0.192,P < 0.05)、睡眠质量(β = 2.559,P < 0.05)、肾脏受累(β = 4.269,P < 0.05)、疾病活动度(β = 2.743,P < 0.05)、白细胞计数(β = 1.576,P < 0.05)、淋巴细胞计数(β = 0.393,P < 0.05)、血红蛋白(β = 0.972,P < 0.05)、补体C3(β = 0.802,P < 0.05)和补体C4(β = 0.493,P < 0.05)为营养不良的独立危险因素。预测模型显示出良好的预测价值,ROC曲线下面积为0.895(95%CI:0.823 - 0.840),敏感性为0.907,特异性为0.827。Hosmer - Lemeshow检验表明模型拟合良好(χ² = 10.779,P = 0.215)。

讨论

营养不良是SLE患者中的一个重要问题,受一系列社会经济和临床因素影响。我们的风险预测模型具有高敏感性和特异性,为早期识别该人群中的营养不良提供了一个有力工具。在临床实践中应用该模型可以指导医疗服务提供者对高危患者进行优先排序,从而能够进行积极的营养干预,这可能会改善临床结果、提高生活质量并降低与SLE相关的医疗成本。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fe4b/11579133/baf68044f34e/JIR-17-8891-g0001.jpg

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