Matovic Zaric Vera, Pantic Ivana, Lugonja Sofija, Glisic Tijana, Konjikusic Snezana, Lolic Iva, Baljosevic Nevena, Zgradic Sanja, El Mezeni Jasna, Vojnovic Marko, Brankovic Marija, Milovanovic Tamara
Emergency Center, Gastroenterology and Hepatology Department, University Clinical Center of Serbia, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.
Clinic of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Clinical Center of Serbia, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.
Diagnostics (Basel). 2024 Nov 9;14(22):2508. doi: 10.3390/diagnostics14222508.
Alcohol can directly damage the liver, causing steatosis, steatohepatitis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular cancer. The aim of this study was to examine 28-day survival in hospitalized patients with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) cirrhosis, as well as to develop and validate a new survival prediction model. A total of 145 patients with ALD cirrhosis were included; 107 were diagnosed with acute decompensation (AD) and 38 with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). The new liver mortality inpatients (LIV-IN) score was calculated using the following variables: hepatic encephalopathy (HE), hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), ascites, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), community-acquired infection (CAI), and fibrinogen. The diagnostic accuracy of the LIV-IN score was tested, along with the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), model for end-stage liver disease-sodium (MELD-Na), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), chronic liver failure consortium-C acute decompensation (CLIF-C AD), and chronic liver failure consortium-acute-on-chronic liver failure (CLIF-C ACLF). Lethal outcome occurred in 46 (31.7%) patients. The mortality rate was higher in the ACLF group ( = 22, 57.9%) compared to the AD group ( = 24, 22.4%) ( < 0.01). The highest predictive power for short-term mortality was observed for the LIV-IN score (AUC 73.4%, < 0.01). In patients with AD, the diagnostic accuracy of the CLIF-C AD score was better than for the LIV-IN score (AUC 0.699; = 0.004, AUC 0.686; = 0.007, respectively). In patients with ACLF, only the LIV-IN score had statistically significant discriminative power in predicting 28-day survival. The liver mortality inpatients prognostic score is a new, reliable prognostic model in predicting 28-day mortality.
酒精会直接损害肝脏,导致脂肪变性、脂肪性肝炎、肝硬化和肝细胞癌。本研究的目的是研究酒精性肝病(ALD)肝硬化住院患者的28天生存率,并开发和验证一种新的生存预测模型。共纳入145例ALD肝硬化患者;107例被诊断为急性失代偿(AD),38例被诊断为慢加急性肝衰竭(ACLF)。使用以下变量计算新的住院患者肝脏死亡率(LIV-IN)评分:肝性脑病(HE)、肝肾综合征(HRS)、腹水、全身炎症反应综合征(SIRS)、社区获得性感染(CAI)和纤维蛋白原。对LIV-IN评分以及终末期肝病模型(MELD)、终末期肝病-钠模型(MELD-Na)、白蛋白-胆红素(ALBI)、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、慢性肝衰竭联盟-C急性失代偿(CLIF-C AD)和慢性肝衰竭联盟-慢加急性肝衰竭(CLIF-C ACLF)模型的诊断准确性进行了测试。46例(31.7%)患者出现致命结局。ACLF组的死亡率(n = 22,57.9%)高于AD组(n = 24,22.4%)(P < 0.01)。LIV-IN评分对短期死亡率的预测能力最强(AUC 73.4%,P < 0.01)。在AD患者中,CLIF-C AD评分的诊断准确性优于LIV-IN评分(AUC分别为0.699;P = 0.004,AUC为0.686;P = 0.007)。在ACLF患者中,只有LIV-IN评分在预测28天生存率方面具有统计学显著的判别能力。住院患者肝脏死亡率预后评分是预测28天死亡率的一种新的、可靠的预后模型。