Le Ngoan T, Pham Yen T-H, Le Linh T, Dao Hang V, Koriyama Chihaya, Ha Toan H, Lichtveld Maureen, Kuchipudi Suresh V, Huynh Nhi Y-N, Nguyen Dai D, Luu Hung N
Institute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang 550000, Vietnam.
Department of Occupational Health, Institute for Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Hanoi Medical University, Hanoi 100000, Vietnam.
Cancers (Basel). 2024 Nov 17;16(22):3853. doi: 10.3390/cancers16223853.
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Cancer incidence in young adults or those aged 15-49 years old has increased during the past decade. Knowledge about the risk factors for cancer-related deaths in young adults is limited, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).
This analysis was based on the Hanoi Prospective Cohort Study, an ongoing study of 39,401 participants aged 15 or older in Northern Vietnam in the 2007-2019 period. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for the association between potential factors and the risk of cancer-related deaths.
With a median follow-up of 11.01 years, we identified 164 deaths in young adults out of 554 total deaths. Overall, family history of cancer (HR = 7.34; 95% CI: 3.30-16.36), drinking alcohol (HR = 1.82; 95% CI: 1.18-2.81), and smoking (HR = 2.22; 95% CI: 1.36-3.63) were found to be risk factors, while drinking coffee was found to be a protective factor (HR = 0.49; 95% CI: 0.24-1.00) for cancer-related deaths in young adults. Young male adults were found to be at a higher risk due to excessive cigarette smoking (HR = 1.91; 95% CI: 1.00-3.68) and alcohol consumption (HR = 2.15; 95% CI: 1.32-3.53) than those aged 50 years and older (HR = 1.36 and 95% CI: 0.96-1.93 and 1.27 and 95% CI: 0.97-1.67, respectively). The risk of death from cancer in women compared with men in the young population was twice as high as that in the older population (HR = 1.18 and 95% CI: 0.72-1.94 vs. 0.47 and 95% CI: 0.35-0.63, respectively).
Our data suggest that the young Vietnamese population is vulnerable to the risk of cancer-related deaths and that cancer in women will increase rapidly in the future.
背景/目的:在过去十年中,年轻成年人(即15 - 49岁人群)的癌症发病率有所上升。关于年轻成年人癌症相关死亡风险因素的知识有限,在低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)尤其如此。
本分析基于河内前瞻性队列研究,这是一项对2007 - 2019年期间越南北方39401名15岁及以上参与者进行的正在进行的研究。使用Cox比例风险回归模型来计算潜在因素与癌症相关死亡风险之间关联的风险比(HR)和95%置信区间(95%CI)。
中位随访时间为11.01年,在554例总死亡病例中,我们确定了164例年轻成年人死亡。总体而言,癌症家族史(HR = 7.34;95%CI:3.30 - 16.36)、饮酒(HR = 1.82;95%CI:1.18 - 2.81)和吸烟(HR = 2.22;95%CI:1.36 - 3.63)被发现是风险因素,而喝咖啡被发现是年轻成年人癌症相关死亡的保护因素(HR = 0.49;95%CI:0.24 - 1.00)。发现年轻男性成年人由于过度吸烟(HR = 1.91;95%CI:1.00 - 3.68)和饮酒(HR = 2.15;95%CI:1.32 - 3.53)比50岁及以上人群面临更高风险(50岁及以上人群的HR分别为1.36和95%CI:0.96 - 1.93以及1.27和95%CI:0.97 - 1.67)。在年轻人群中,女性死于癌症的风险与男性相比,是老年人群中的两倍(HR分别为1.18和95%CI:0.72 - 1.94与0.47和95%CI:0.35 - 0.63)。
我们的数据表明,越南年轻人群易患癌症相关死亡风险,且未来女性癌症发病率将迅速上升。