Ren Hancheng, Pang Bo, Zhao Gang, Yu Haijun, Tian Peinan, Xie Chenran
College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Hydrological Cycle and Sponge City Technology, Beijing, China.
College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China; Beijing Key Laboratory of Urban Hydrological Cycle and Sponge City Technology, Beijing, China.
Water Res. 2025 Feb 15;270:122816. doi: 10.1016/j.watres.2024.122816. Epub 2024 Nov 19.
Urban flooding has become a prevalent issue in cities worldwide. Urban flood dynamics differ significantly from those in natural watersheds, primarily because of the intricate drainage systems and the high spatial heterogeneity of urban surfaces, which pose considerable challenges for accurate and rapid flood simulation. In this study, an urban drainage-supervised flood model (UDFM) for urban flood simulation is proposed. The urban flood process is decoupled into drainage routing and surface flood inundation. On the basis of physical and deep learning drainage models, a hybrid module combining deep learning and dimensionality reduction algorithm is adopted to convert the 1D drainage overflow process into a high-resolution, spatiotemporal 2D pluvial flooding process. Compared with existing state-of-the-art surrogate models for rapid flood simulation, the UDFM more comprehensively and accurately represents the role of drainage systems in urban flood dynamics, providing high-resolution predictions of flood depth and velocity. When applied to a highly urbanized district in Shenzhen, UDFM-deep learning demonstrated real-time predictive capabilities and high accuracy, particularly in simulating flow velocity, with average Nash efficiency coefficients improved by 0.112 and 0.251 compared with those of a response surface model (RSM) and a low-fidelity model (LFM), respectively. These findings underscore the critical importance of drainage system overflow in urban surface flood simulations. The UDFM enhances accuracy, flexibility, interpretability, and extensibility without requiring additional physical model construction. This research introduces a novel hierarchical surrogate model structure for urban flood simulation, offering valuable insights for rapid flood warning and risk management in urban environments.
城市内涝已成为全球城市普遍存在的问题。城市洪水动力学与自然流域的洪水动力学有显著差异,主要原因在于复杂的排水系统和城市地表的高度空间异质性,这给准确快速的洪水模拟带来了巨大挑战。在本研究中,提出了一种用于城市洪水模拟的城市排水监督洪水模型(UDFM)。将城市洪水过程解耦为排水路径和地表洪水淹没。基于物理和深度学习排水模型,采用深度学习与降维算法相结合的混合模块,将一维排水溢流过程转换为高分辨率的时空二维暴雨洪水过程。与现有的用于快速洪水模拟的先进替代模型相比,UDFM更全面、准确地体现了排水系统在城市洪水动力学中的作用,提供了洪水深度和速度的高分辨率预测。当应用于深圳一个高度城市化地区时,UDFM深度学习模型展现出实时预测能力和高精度,特别是在模拟流速方面,与响应面模型(RSM)和低保真模型(LFM)相比,平均纳什效率系数分别提高了0.112和0.251。这些发现强调了排水系统溢流在城市地表洪水模拟中的至关重要性。UDFM提高了准确性、灵活性、可解释性和可扩展性,而无需额外构建物理模型。本研究为城市洪水模拟引入了一种新颖的分层替代模型结构,为城市环境中的快速洪水预警和风险管理提供了有价值的见解。