Epidemiologic programs for computers and calculators. Simple algorithms for the representation of deterministic and stochastic versions of the Reed-Frost epidemic model using a programmable calculator.
作者信息
Franco E L, Simons A R
出版信息
Am J Epidemiol. 1986 May;123(5):905-15. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114321.
Abstract
Two programs are described for the emulation of the dynamics of Reed-Frost progressive epidemics in a handheld programmable calculator (HP-41C series). The programs provide a complete record of cases, susceptibles, and immunes at each epidemic period using either the deterministic formulation or the trough analogue of the mechanical model for the stochastic version. Both programs can compute epidemics that include a constant rate of influx or outflux of susceptibles and single or double infectivity time periods.
摘要
相似文献
1
Epidemiologic programs for computers and calculators. Simple algorithms for the representation of deterministic and stochastic versions of the Reed-Frost epidemic model using a programmable calculator.
Am J Epidemiol. 1986 May;123(5):905-15. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114321.
2
A commentary on the mechanical analogue to the Reed-Frost epidemic model.
Am J Epidemiol. 1977 Aug;106(2):87-100. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a112449.
3
A box, a trough and marbles: How the Reed-Frost epidemic theory shaped epidemiological reasoning in the 20th century.一个盒子、一条沟渠和弹珠：里德-弗罗斯特传染病理论如何塑造 20 世纪的流行病学推理。
Hist Philos Life Sci. 2021 Aug 30;43(3):105. doi: 10.1007/s40656-021-00445-z.
4
Epidemic curve characteristics for the Reed-Frost model.里德-弗罗斯特模型的流行曲线特征。
Biomed Sci Instrum. 1991;27:67-75.
5
Analysis of interobserver variation on a programmable calculator.
Am J Epidemiol. 1984 Jul;120(1):154-60. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a113864.
6
A generalized stochastic model for simulation of epidemics in a heterogeneous population (model VI).
Comput Biol Med. 1972 Feb;2(1):45-58. doi: 10.1016/0010-4825(72)90007-8.
7
Simulation of infectious disease by Reed-Frost model with proportion of immune and inapparent infection.
Comput Biol Med. 1984;14(2):209-15. doi: 10.1016/0010-4825(84)90007-6.
8
Epidemiologic programs for computers and calculators. Decision-tree analysis using a microcomputer.计算机和计算器的流行病学程序。使用微型计算机的决策树分析。
Am J Epidemiol. 1986 Nov;124(5):843-50.
9
Estimation of the probability of epidemic fade-out from multiple outbreak data.基于多起疫情数据估计疫情消退的概率。
Epidemics. 2022 Mar;38:100539. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100539. Epub 2022 Jan 22.
10
Integrated calculator programs for pharmacokinetic calculations.
Am J Hosp Pharm. 1982 May;39(5):825-8.
Zotero 插件