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基于德尔菲法构建急性呼吸道传染病监测数据源指标体系

[Construction of data source indicator system for acute respiratory infectious disease surveillance based on the Delphi method].

作者信息

Wang Y Y, Huo D Z, Li Z J, Ye C C, Hao L P, Yang W Z

机构信息

Department of Acute Infectious Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai Pudong New Area Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai200136, China.

School of Health Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College, Beijing100730, China.

出版信息

Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2024 Nov 10;45(11):1605-1610. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20240625-00372.

Abstract

To establish an indicator system for surveillance of data sources to provide a theoretical basis for respiratory infectious disease surveillance and early warning. Indicators for data sources in the surveillance of acute respiratory infectious diseases were initially compiled through a literature search. Subsequently, two rounds of expert consultations were conducted with 22 experts using the Delphi method to refine the indicators. The questionnaire recovery rates for the two rounds of expert consultation were 100.00% and 86.36%, respectively. The authority coefficient of the experts was 0.83. The coordination coefficient of the second round of Delphi expert consultation was 0.32, and the coefficient of variation of each indicator was less than 0.25. Finally, the indicators system of data source for the surveillance of acute respiratory infectious diseases includes 4 first-level indicators, 10 second-level indicators, and 26 third-level indicators. The indicator system of data sources for the surveillance of acute respiratory infectious diseases constructed in this study is reasonable and reliable, providing a valuable reference for surveillance, early warning and policy formulation of acute respiratory infectious diseases.

摘要

建立数据来源监测指标体系,为呼吸道传染病监测与预警提供理论依据。通过文献检索初步编制急性呼吸道传染病监测数据来源指标。随后,采用德尔菲法与22名专家进行两轮专家咨询以完善指标。两轮专家咨询问卷回收率分别为100.00%和86.36%。专家权威系数为0.83。第二轮德尔菲专家咨询协调系数为0.32,各指标变异系数均小于0.25。最终,急性呼吸道传染病监测数据来源指标体系包括4个一级指标、10个二级指标和26个三级指标。本研究构建的急性呼吸道传染病监测数据来源指标体系合理可靠,为急性呼吸道传染病监测、预警及政策制定提供了有价值的参考。

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