Christopher-de Vries Yvette, Burstyn Igor, Christensen Mette Wulf, Notø Hilde, Straif Kurt, Pukkala Eero, Schlünssen Vivi, Bertke Stephen, van Tongeren Martie, Kolstad Henrik A, McElvenny Damien, Basinas Ioannis
Research Group, Institute of Occupational Medicine, Research Avenue North, Riccarton Edinburgh, Midlothian, EH14 4AP, UK; National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), The Netherlands.
Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Dornsife School of Public Health, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA, 19102, United States.
Int J Hyg Environ Health. 2025 Mar;264:114494. doi: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2024.114494. Epub 2024 Dec 5.
We aimed to develop a method for assessing occupational styrene exposures for application in epidemiological studies on risks of lymphohematopoietic neoplasms and other malignant and non-malignant diseases in the European and the US glass reinforced plastics industries.
We estimated a linear mixed effects model based on individual airborne personal measurements of styrene from the glass reinforced plastics industry in Denmark, Norway, Sweden, UK, and the US. The most suitable model was chosen based on its predictive power as assessed using cross validation with different combinations of predictors; and by comparing their prediction errors.
We created a database containing 21,201 personal and area measurements but a subset of 14,440 personal measurements that spanned a period from 1962 to 2018, were used in the analysis. The selected model included fixed effects for year, sampling duration, measurement reason, product, process and random effects for country and worker. There was strong agreement between the model's predictions and actual exposure values indicating a good fit (Lin's CCC: 0.85 95% CI 0.84, 0.85). There were regional differences in exposure levels, with the UK and the US having comparable exposures that were higher than those in the Nordic countries. Higher exposures were consistent with measurements collected for inspection purposes, the lamination process, and specific products. Styrene exposure levels have decreased annually on average by 7%.
Our exposure model and the resulting exposure predictions will enable estimation of lifetime occupational exposure for individual workers in the European and the US glass reinforced plastics industry and possibly related health risks among employees. The approach facilitates understanding of the uncertainty in our prediction model and can inform analysis of the bias that application of our exposure assessment approach can produce in epidemiologic analyses of exposure-response associations. Addressing systematic sources of bias can increase confidence in the conclusions of the epidemiologic analysis.
我们旨在开发一种评估职业性苯乙烯暴露的方法,用于欧洲和美国玻璃增强塑料行业中关于淋巴造血系统肿瘤及其他恶性和非恶性疾病风险的流行病学研究。
我们基于丹麦、挪威、瑞典、英国和美国玻璃增强塑料行业的苯乙烯个体空气个人测量数据,估计了一个线性混合效应模型。根据使用不同预测变量组合进行交叉验证评估的预测能力,并通过比较它们的预测误差,选择最合适的模型。
我们创建了一个包含21201次个人和区域测量数据的数据库,但分析中使用的是1962年至2018年期间的14440次个人测量数据子集。所选模型包括年份、采样持续时间、测量原因、产品、工艺的固定效应以及国家和工人的随机效应。模型预测与实际暴露值之间有很强的一致性,表明拟合良好(林氏一致性相关系数:0.85,95%置信区间0.84,0.85)。暴露水平存在区域差异,英国和美国的暴露水平相当,高于北欧国家。较高的暴露水平与为检查目的、层压工艺和特定产品收集的测量数据一致。苯乙烯暴露水平平均每年下降7%。
我们的暴露模型及由此产生的暴露预测将能够估计欧洲和美国玻璃增强塑料行业个体工人的终生职业暴露以及员工中可能存在的相关健康风险。该方法有助于理解我们预测模型中的不确定性,并可为分析我们的暴露评估方法在暴露-反应关联的流行病学分析中可能产生的偏差提供参考。解决偏差的系统性来源可增强对流行病学分析结论的信心。