Tefera Endeshaw Yeshiwas, Mencho Birhanu Bekele, Terefe Baye
Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, Injibara University, P.O. Box 40, Injibara, Ethiopia.
Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, Wolkite University, P.O. Box 07, Wolkite, Ethiopia.
Environ Manage. 2025 Jan;75(1):124-136. doi: 10.1007/s00267-024-02079-w. Epub 2024 Dec 6.
Climate change vulnerability is the biggest threat to ecosystems and economies of the world. Hence, this study aims to assess the vulnerability to climate variability adaptation strategies of rural households in Begemdir District, Northwest Ethiopia. In this study, the cross-sectional research design was used to gain a wider and better understanding of vulnerability to climate variability. Both primary and secondary data were used to triangulate the study to maintain validity. A multi-stage random sampling technique was used to select 120 sample households from the study area. Moreover, climatic data, such as rainfall and temperature data were collected from meteorological stations. The data gathered from primary data sources analyzed by using descriptive statistics. Finally, a logistic regression model was employed to identify the factors that affecting households' decisions to climate adaptation strategies in the study area. The results of the study reveal that the overall IPCC-LVI score is 0.49, and the perceived rainfall has decreased over the last decade. This implies livelihoods of the households are vulnerable to climate variability and low adaptive capacity. The age, sex, education level, extension services, land size, credit access, access to climatic information, access to credit, and extension services affected significantly (p < 0.05) households' vulnerability to climate variability in the study area. Thus, the local governments, policymakers, non-governmental organizations, and farming communities need to consider these variables to realize climate change adaptation strategies in the study area. Moreover, higher focus should be given to enhancing education, expanding access to credit, increasing land management support, as well as strengthening extension services to build long-term sustainable climate-resilient practices and mitigate the impacts of climate change vulnerability to households in the study area.
气候变化脆弱性是对世界生态系统和经济的最大威胁。因此,本研究旨在评估埃塞俄比亚西北部贝格姆迪尔地区农村家庭对气候变化适应策略的脆弱性。在本研究中,采用横断面研究设计以更广泛、更好地了解对气候变化的脆弱性。主要数据和次要数据均被用于使研究相互印证以确保有效性。采用多阶段随机抽样技术从研究区域选取120个样本家庭。此外,从气象站收集降雨和温度等气候数据。通过描述性统计分析从主要数据源收集的数据。最后,采用逻辑回归模型确定影响研究区域家庭对气候适应策略决策的因素。研究结果表明,IPCC-LVI总体得分是0.49,并且在过去十年中感知到的降雨量有所下降。这意味着家庭生计易受气候变化影响且适应能力较低。年龄、性别、教育水平、推广服务、土地面积、信贷获取、气候信息获取、信贷获取和推广服务在研究区域对家庭气候变化脆弱性有显著影响(p < 0.05)。因此,地方政府、政策制定者、非政府组织和农业社区需要考虑这些变量以在研究区域实现气候变化适应策略。此外,应更加注重加强教育、扩大信贷获取、增加土地管理支持以及加强推广服务,以建立长期可持续的气候适应做法并减轻气候变化脆弱性对研究区域家庭的影响。