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评估农业部门延长燃料循环的经济可行性:对生产力、人力资本和可持续性的影响。

Assessing the economic viability of prolonged fuel cycles in the agricultural sector: Impacts on productivity, Human capital and sustainability.

作者信息

Hang Zuo

机构信息

School of Mathematics,Chengdu Normal University, Chengdu, 611130, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Oct 22;10(23):e39594. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e39594. eCollection 2024 Dec 15.

Abstract

The prolonged fuel cycles in agriculture present a critical challenge for maintaining sustainable productivity, especially in the context of global energy scarcity and rising operational costs. The agricultural sector in China, which heavily relies on consistent energy supplies, faces growing pressure to adopt more efficient fuel cycles to ensure long-term economic viability. This paper aims to assess the economic viability of prolonged fuel cycles within China's agricultural sector by utilizing a comprehensive econometric model that evaluates the impacts on productivity, cost efficiency, human capital and environmental sustainability. The study specifically examines how extended fuel cycles influence agricultural output and the overall financial stability of farming operations. Results indicate that prolonged fuel cycles significantly reduce operational costs by improving energy utilization efficiency and human capital development increase agricultural productivity by up to 12 %, and mitigate carbon emissions by approximately 15 % due to more efficient fuel use. Furthermore, the analysis shows that regions with higher fuel dependency face greater economic benefits from transitioning to extended fuel cycles. Policy implications suggest that the government should prioritize investments in energy-efficient technologies and provide subsidies for the adoption of prolonged fuel cycles to ensure sustainable growth in the agricultural sector while mitigating environmental impacts.

摘要

农业中延长燃料循环对维持可持续生产力构成了严峻挑战,尤其是在全球能源稀缺和运营成本不断上升的背景下。严重依赖持续能源供应的中国农业部门,面临着越来越大的压力,需要采用更高效的燃料循环以确保长期经济可行性。本文旨在通过运用一个综合计量经济模型来评估中国农业部门延长燃料循环的经济可行性,该模型评估了对生产力、成本效率、人力资本和环境可持续性的影响。该研究具体考察了延长燃料循环如何影响农业产出和农业经营的整体财务稳定性。结果表明,延长燃料循环通过提高能源利用效率显著降低了运营成本,人力资本发展使农业生产力提高了12%,并且由于更高效的燃料使用使碳排放量减少了约15%。此外,分析表明,燃料依赖程度较高的地区从向延长燃料循环过渡中获得的经济效益更大。政策启示表明,政府应优先投资于节能技术,并为采用延长燃料循环提供补贴,以确保农业部门的可持续增长,同时减轻环境影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a5e1/11636081/a914cfdbf19a/gr1.jpg

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