Chen Yinglong, Zhang Hongling, You Yang, Zhang Jing, Tang Lian
School of Civil and Hydraulic Engineering, Ningxia University, Yinchuan, Ningxia, 750021, China.
Ningxia Institute of Water Resources Research, Yinchuan, Ningxia, 750021, China.
Environ Res. 2025 Feb 1;266:120615. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2024.120615. Epub 2024 Dec 12.
Accurate prediction of influent parameters such as chemical oxygen demand (COD) and biochemical oxygen demand over five days (BOD) is crucial for optimizing wastewater treatment processes, enhancing efficiency, and reducing costs. Traditional prediction methods struggle to capture the dynamic variations of influent parameters. Mechanistic biochemical models are unable to predict these parameters, and conventional machine learning methods show limited accuracy in forecasting key water quality indicators such as COD and BOD. This study proposes a hybrid model that combines signal decomposition and deep learning to improve the accuracy of COD and BOD predictions. Additionally, a new dynamic feature selection (DFS) mechanism is introduced to optimize feature selection in real-time, reducing model redundancy and enhancing prediction stability. The model achieved R values of 0.88 and 0.96 for COD, and 0.75 and 0.93 for BOD across two wastewater treatment plants. RMSE and MAE values were significantly reduced, with decreases of 14.93% and 12.55% for COD at WWTP No. 5, and 20.89% and 20.40% for COD at WWTP No. 7. For BOD, RMSE and MAE decreased by 3.56% and 5.28% at WWTP No. 5, and by 10.06% and 10.20% at WWTP No. 7. These results highlight the effectiveness of the proposed model and DFS mechanism in improving prediction accuracy and model performance. This approach provides valuable insights for wastewater treatment optimization and broader time series forecasting applications.
准确预测进水参数,如化学需氧量(COD)和五日生化需氧量(BOD),对于优化废水处理工艺、提高效率和降低成本至关重要。传统的预测方法难以捕捉进水参数的动态变化。机理生化模型无法预测这些参数,而传统的机器学习方法在预测COD和BOD等关键水质指标时准确性有限。本研究提出了一种结合信号分解和深度学习的混合模型,以提高COD和BOD预测的准确性。此外,引入了一种新的动态特征选择(DFS)机制,以实时优化特征选择,减少模型冗余并提高预测稳定性。该模型在两个污水处理厂中,COD的R值分别达到0.88和0.96,BOD的R值分别为0.75和0.93。RMSE和MAE值显著降低,5号污水处理厂COD的RMSE和MAE分别下降了14.93%和12.55%,7号污水处理厂COD的RMSE和MAE分别下降了20.89%和20.40%。对于BOD,5号污水处理厂的RMSE和MAE分别下降了3.56%和5.28%,7号污水处理厂的RMSE和MAE分别下降了10.06%和10.20%。这些结果突出了所提出的模型和DFS机制在提高预测准确性和模型性能方面的有效性。这种方法为废水处理优化和更广泛的时间序列预测应用提供了有价值的见解。