Suello Rey Harvey, Temmerman Daan, Bouillon Steven, Khalifeh Zeinab, van Puijenbroek Marinka, Elschot Kelly, Pelckmans Ignace, Andersen Thorbjørn Joest, Smit Chris, Bakker Jan, Temmerman Stijn
University of Antwerp, ECOSPHERE, Wilrijk, 2610, Belgium.
University of Antwerp, ECOSPHERE, Wilrijk, 2610, Belgium.
Sci Total Environ. 2025 Jan 1;958:178075. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178075. Epub 2024 Dec 16.
Salt marshes are known as key ecosystems for nature-based climate mitigation through organic carbon sequestration into their sediment beds, but at the same time they are affected by accelerating sea level rise induced by climate warming. Consequently, an important question is how organic carbon accumulation rates (OCAR) of salt marshes will respond to future accelerating rates of relative sea level rise (RSLR). To date, existing insights are either based on (1) comparison of geographically distant marsh sites, differing in local RSLR rates but also in other environmental conditions that additionally can affect OCAR, or (2) experiments in given marsh sites, in which proxies for RSLR are manipulated, but run over periods of years instead of decades, the latter being the relevant time scale of marsh responses to RSLR. Here we bridge these shortcomings by studying the OCAR over four decades at two nearby salt marsh sites in the Netherlands, with similar environmental conditions, but with one site experiencing an accelerated RSLR rate of 9.7-11.7 mm yr (i.e., within the range of projected global mean sea level rise rates by 2100) due to local land subsidence induced by gas extraction, while the other site does not experience subsidence and has a low background RSLR rate of 2.0 mm yr (i.e. close to the current global mean sea level rise rate). Our results reveal that the salt marsh site experiencing the accelerated RSLR rates shows OCAR values that are on average twice as high as those found in the marsh site experiencing the low background RSLR rates. Moreover, the increase of OCAR in response to faster RSLR was even more pronounced (i.e. 63 % increase) on marsh levees within 10 m from tidal creeks, while this was more subtle (i.e. 27 % increase) in marsh basins at a distance of 30-40 m from the creeks. These observations of increased OCAR are mainly attributed to increased sediment accretion rates (SAR) in response to (1) increased tidal inundation due to accelerated RSLR and (2) larger sediment supply due to closer proximity to creeks, while sediment organic carbon content was relatively little affected. Our findings support expectations that nature-based climate mitigation actions, through salt marsh conservation and restoration, are sustainable on the long term of the coming decades, and are even likely to become more effective with future accelerations in global sea level rise, at least for macrotidal sites not limited by sediment supply.
盐沼被认为是通过将有机碳固存到其沉积物床中来实现基于自然的气候缓解的关键生态系统,但与此同时,它们也受到气候变暖导致的海平面加速上升的影响。因此,一个重要的问题是盐沼的有机碳积累速率(OCAR)将如何应对未来相对海平面上升(RSLR)的加速速率。迄今为止,现有的见解要么基于(1)对地理上相距遥远的盐沼地点的比较,这些地点的局部RSLR速率不同,而且其他环境条件也不同,这些条件也会额外影响OCAR;要么基于(2)在给定盐沼地点进行的实验,在这些实验中,对RSLR的代理进行了操纵,但实验持续时间为数年而非数十年,而后者才是盐沼对RSLR响应的相关时间尺度。在这里,我们通过研究荷兰两个相邻盐沼地点四十年来的OCAR来弥补这些不足,这两个地点环境条件相似,但其中一个地点由于天然气开采导致局部地面沉降,经历了9.7 - 11.7毫米/年的加速RSLR速率(即处于到2100年预计的全球平均海平面上升速率范围内),而另一个地点没有经历沉降,背景RSLR速率较低,为2.0毫米/年(即接近当前全球平均海平面上升速率)。我们的结果表明,经历加速RSLR速率的盐沼地点的OCAR值平均是经历低背景RSLR速率的盐沼地点的两倍。此外,在距潮汐小溪10米内的盐沼堤坝上,OCAR随更快的RSLR的增加更为明显(即增加了63%),而在距小溪30 - 40米的盐沼盆地中,这种增加则较为细微(即增加了27%)。这些OCAR增加的观测结果主要归因于沉积物堆积速率(SAR)的增加,这是由于(1)加速的RSLR导致潮汐淹没增加,以及(2)由于更靠近小溪而有更大的沉积物供应,而沉积物有机碳含量受影响相对较小。我们的研究结果支持了这样的预期,即通过盐沼保护和恢复来采取基于自然的气候缓解行动在未来几十年的长期内是可持续的,而且随着未来全球海平面上升的加速,甚至可能会变得更加有效,至少对于不受沉积物供应限制的大潮盐沼地点是这样。