Global, regional, and national burden of early-onset colorectal cancer and projection to 2050: An analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

OBJECTIVES

Early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) is becoming increasingly concerning due to its impact on individuals under 50 years old. We explored the burden of EO-CRC to provide information for planning effective management and prevention strategies.

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted secondary analyses to assess the burden of EO-CRC using data from GBD 2021.

METHODS

The incidence, prevalence, deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and their rates across 204 countries and territories were obtained from GBD 2021 database. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) calculation was used to assess temporal trends in these metrics. Additionally, we reported the proportion of DALYs attributable to risk factors and projected future disease burden till 2050.

RESULTS

The global number of new EO-CRC cases increased from 107,310 in 1990 to 211,890 in 2021. Both age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and prevalence rate (ASPR) of EO-CRC showed overall increases over the study period (ASIR: EAPC = 0.96 (0.9-1.02), ASPR: EAPC = 1.5 (1.44-1.55)). However, a decline in ASIR and ASPR was observed in 2020 and 2021. Males consistently showed higher EO-CRC indicators compared to females. Furthermore, projections indicated that deaths and DALYs cases are likely to fluctuate but generally increase by 2050, reaching 85,602 and 4,283,093, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The global impact of EO-CRC has increased significantly from 1990 to 2021, revealing notable variations across SDI regions, countries, age groups, and sexes. Besides, deaths and DALYs are predicted to rise by 2050. These results highlight the importance of implementing measures to address the growing burden of EO-CRC globally.