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印度尼西亚爪哇岛南岸全球变暖背景下海洋综合灾害管理的评估

Valuation of marine integrated disaster management amidst global warming in Southern Coast of Java, Indonesia.

作者信息

Suhardono Sapta, Lee Chun-Hung, Suryawan I Wayan Koko

机构信息

Environmental Sciences Study Program, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Sebelas Maret, Surakarta 57126, Indonesia.

Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Studies, College of Environmental Studies and Oceanography, National Dong Hwa University, Hualien 97401, Taiwan, ROC; Center for Environmental Solution (CVISION), Universitas Pertamina, Jalan Sinabung II, Terusan Simprug, Jakarta, 12220, Indonesia; Center for Interdisciplinary Research on Ecology and Sustainability, College of Environmental Studies and Oceanography, National Dong Hwa University, Hualien 97401, Taiwan, ROC.

出版信息

Mar Pollut Bull. 2025 Feb;211:117446. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117446. Epub 2024 Dec 19.

DOI:10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.117446
PMID:39706095
Abstract

This research explores the valuation of integrated disaster management in the coastal regions of Southern Java, Indonesia, a locale increasingly threatened by the impacts of global warming, which exacerbates marine disasters such as earthquakes and tsunamis. Employing a choice experiment methodology, the study assesses the willingness to pay among local households for various strategies designed to enhance earthquake preparedness. Three distinct scenarios are examined, each reflecting varying levels of integration and sophistication: (1) Educational empowerment and localized alert integration, which emphasizes community education and rapid, self-directed evacuation practices tailored to the immediate onset of tsunamis following seismic events. This scenario advocates for the '20-20-20' rule, underscoring self-evacuation as the most dependable survival method; (2) Strategic evacuation enablement, focusing on the logistics of evacuation and infrastructure development to facilitate timely community response; and (3) Integrated marine disaster management, which merges educational, technological, logistical, and ecological elements into a comprehensive strategy.

摘要

本研究探讨了印度尼西亚爪哇岛南部沿海地区综合灾害管理的价值评估。该地区日益受到全球变暖影响的威胁,全球变暖加剧了地震和海啸等海洋灾害。本研究采用选择实验方法,评估当地家庭为各种旨在加强地震防备的策略支付费用的意愿。研究考察了三种不同的情景,每种情景反映了不同程度的整合和复杂性:(1)教育赋权与本地化警报整合,强调社区教育以及针对地震事件后海啸立即来袭时的快速、自主疏散做法。此情景倡导“20 - 20 - 20”规则,强调自我疏散是最可靠的生存方法;(2)战略疏散支持,侧重于疏散的后勤保障和基础设施建设,以促进社区及时响应;(3)综合海洋灾害管理,将教育、技术、后勤和生态要素整合为一项全面战略。

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