Dijkstra Jan, Bannink André, Congio Guilhermo F S, Ellis Jennifer L, Eugène Maguy, Garcia Florencia, Niu Mutian, Vibart Ronaldo E, Yáñez-Ruiz David R, Kebreab Ermias
Animal Nutrition Group, Wageningen University & Research, 6700 AH Wageningen, the Netherlands.
Wageningen Livestock Research, Wageningen University & Research, 6700 AH Wageningen, the Netherlands.
J Dairy Sci. 2025 Jan;108(1):356-374. doi: 10.3168/jds.2024-25049.
Over the past decade, there has been considerable attention on mitigating enteric methane (CH) emissions from ruminants through the utilization of antimethanogenic feed additives (AMFA). Administered in small quantities, these additives demonstrate potential for substantial reductions of methanogenesis. Mathematical models play a crucial role in comprehending and predicting the quantitative impact of AMFA on enteric CH emissions across diverse diets and production systems. This study provides a comprehensive overview of methodologies for modeling the impact of AMFA on enteric CH emissions in ruminants, culminating in a set of recommendations for modeling approaches to quantify the impact of AMFA on CH emissions. Key considerations encompass the type of models employed (i.e., empirical models including meta-analyses, machine learning models, and mechanistic models), the modeling objectives, data availability, modeling synergies and trade-offs associated with using AMFA, and model applications for enhanced understanding, prediction, and integration into higher levels of aggregation. Based on an evaluation of these critical aspects, a set of recommendations is presented concerning modeling approaches for quantifying the impact of AMFA on CH emissions and in support of farm-level, national, regional, and global inventories for accounting greenhouse gas emissions in ruminant production systems.
在过去十年中,通过使用抗甲烷生成饲料添加剂(AMFA)来减少反刍动物肠道甲烷(CH)排放受到了广泛关注。这些添加剂用量小,却显示出大幅减少甲烷生成的潜力。数学模型在理解和预测AMFA对不同日粮和生产系统中肠道CH排放的定量影响方面起着关键作用。本研究全面概述了模拟AMFA对反刍动物肠道CH排放影响的方法,并最终提出了一套关于量化AMFA对CH排放影响的建模方法建议。关键考虑因素包括所采用模型的类型(即包括荟萃分析的实证模型、机器学习模型和机理模型)、建模目标、数据可用性、与使用AMFA相关的建模协同作用和权衡,以及用于加强理解、预测并整合到更高层次汇总的模型应用。基于对这些关键方面的评估,针对量化AMFA对CH排放影响的建模方法,以及支持反刍动物生产系统温室气体排放核算的农场级、国家、区域和全球清单,提出了一套建议。