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智商测试分数的上升与下降:奥地利的弗林效应及正向流形强度的下降(2005 - 2018年)

Increasing IQ Test Scores and Decreasing : The Flynn Effect and Decreasing Positive Manifold Strengths in Austria (2005-2018).

作者信息

Andrzejewski Denise, Oberleiter Sandra, Vetter Marco, Pietschnig Jakob

机构信息

Department of Development and Educational Psychology, Faculty of Psychology, University of Vienna, 1010 Vienna, Austria.

Department of Psychology, School of Social Sciences, Heriot Watt University, Dubai P.O. Box 38103, United Arab Emirates.

出版信息

J Intell. 2024 Dec 23;12(12):130. doi: 10.3390/jintelligence12120130.

DOI:10.3390/jintelligence12120130
PMID:39728098
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11676032/
Abstract

After almost a century of global generational IQ test score gains, the Flynn effect has, in the past decades, been observed to show stagnation and reversals in several countries. Tentative evidence from academic achievement data has suggested that these trajectory changes may be rooted in a decreasing strength of the positive manifold of intelligence due to increasing ability differentiation and specialization in the general population. Here, we provide direct evidence for generational IQ test score and positive manifold strength changes based on IQ test standardization data from 1392 Austrian residents between 2005 and 2018. Our analyses revealed positive Flynn effects across all domains of the IQ test (Cohen's d from 0.21 to 0.91) but a trend toward decreasing strength in the positive manifold of intelligence ( from .908 to .892), though these changes were not statistically significant. Our results are consistent with the idea that increasingly inconsistent Flynn effect trajectories may be attributed to increasing ability differentiation and specialization in the general population over time.

摘要

在全球代际智商测试分数持续增长近一个世纪之后,在过去几十年里,人们观察到弗林效应在几个国家出现了停滞和逆转。来自学业成绩数据的初步证据表明,这些轨迹变化可能源于由于普通人群中能力分化和专业化程度的提高,智力正向多样性的强度在下降。在此,我们基于2005年至2018年间1392名奥地利居民的智商测试标准化数据,为代际智商测试分数和正向多样性强度变化提供了直接证据。我们的分析揭示了智商测试所有领域的正向弗林效应(科恩d值从0.21到0.91),但智力正向多样性强度有下降趋势(从0.908降至0.892),不过这些变化在统计学上并不显著。我们的结果与这样一种观点一致,即随着时间的推移,弗林效应轨迹越来越不一致可能归因于普通人群中能力分化和专业化程度的提高。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c0e/11676032/10591887dc77/jintelligence-12-00130-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c0e/11676032/10591887dc77/jintelligence-12-00130-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5c0e/11676032/10591887dc77/jintelligence-12-00130-g001.jpg

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本文引用的文献

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Measurement-Invariant Fluid Anti-Flynn Effects in Population-Representative German Student Samples (2012-2022).德国具有人口代表性的学生样本(2012 - 2022年)中测量不变的流体智力反弗林效应
J Intell. 2024 Jan 17;12(1):9. doi: 10.3390/jintelligence12010009.
2
Flynn effect and its reversal are both environmentally caused.弗林效应及其逆转都是由环境引起的。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2018 Jun 26;115(26):6674-6678. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1718793115. Epub 2018 Jun 11.
3
Identification of Confirmatory Factor Analysis Models of Different Levels of Invariance for Ordered Categorical Outcomes.
有序分类结果不同水平不变性的验证性因素分析模型的识别
Psychometrika. 2016 Dec;81(4):1014-1045. doi: 10.1007/s11336-016-9506-0. Epub 2016 Jul 11.
4
One Century of Global IQ Gains: A Formal Meta-Analysis of the Flynn Effect (1909-2013).一个世纪以来的全球智商增长:弗林效应的正式元分析(1909-2013)。
Perspect Psychol Sci. 2015 May;10(3):282-306. doi: 10.1177/1745691615577701.
5
The General Factor of Personality: A General Critique.人格的一般因素:全面批判
J Res Pers. 2013 Oct 1;47(5):493-504. doi: 10.1016/j.jrp.2013.04.012.
6
Pervasiveness of the IQ rise: a cross-temporal meta-analysis.智力上升的普遍性:跨时项元分析。
PLoS One. 2010 Dec 22;5(12):e14406. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0014406.