Zheng Jiali, Hou Xiaoqing, Duan Hongbo, Wang Shouyang
The School of Management, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China.
The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College London, London WC1E 7HB, UK.
Fundam Res. 2024 Feb 8;4(6):1696-1709. doi: 10.1016/j.fmre.2023.12.020. eCollection 2024 Nov.
By conducting a bibliometric analysis of 1997 scholarly publications on carbon neutrality and zero carbon emissions from 2019 to 2022, it is found that reviews of quantitative socioeconomic modeling research remain limited. To address this issue, a comprehensive review of carbon neutrality research, specifically, a systematic and synergistic review of the literature from a socioeconomic modeling perspective, is needed. The 20 clustering labels in the four largest clusters are summarized as main research streams, that is, carbon emission reduction, carbon sink and carbon capture and storage according to the definition of carbon neutral. Thus, this review revealed that carbon neutrality in the quantitative socioeconomic field is characterized in three main research directions. Sector integration, including integration within and among sectors, and integrated assessment models (IAMs), particularly multimodel analysis, can be regarded as a key node for carbon emission reduction. Carbon sink accounting, trade, and policy evaluated through technological and socioeconomic modeling, which includes both top-down and bottom-up types, are critical issues for carbon sinks. Carbon removal technologies and their application in IAMs are important topics for carbon capture and storage. This review provides a clear understanding of model-driven socioeconomic research on carbon neutrality via a systematic framework in quantitative analyses, outlining the potential gaps and challenges and providing possible insights and implications in a synergistic manner.
通过对1997篇2019年至2022年期间关于碳中和与零碳排放的学术出版物进行文献计量分析，发现对定量社会经济模型研究的综述仍然有限。为解决这一问题，需要对碳中和研究进行全面综述，具体而言，需要从社会经济模型角度对文献进行系统且协同的综述。根据碳中和的定义，四大聚类中20个聚类标签被总结为主要研究方向，即碳排放减少、碳汇以及碳捕获与封存。因此，本综述揭示了定量社会经济领域的碳中和具有三个主要研究方向。部门整合，包括部门内部和部门之间的整合，以及综合评估模型（IAMs），特别是多模型分析，可被视为碳排放减少的关键节点。通过技术和社会经济模型评估的碳汇核算、交易和政策，包括自上而下和自下而上两种类型，是碳汇的关键问题。碳去除技术及其在综合评估模型中的应用是碳捕获与封存的重要课题。本综述通过定量分析中的系统框架，清晰地呈现了模型驱动的社会经济碳中和研究，勾勒出潜在的差距和挑战，并以协同的方式提供了可能的见解和启示。
