Gattie Jordyn, Goldberg Mark S, Villeneuve Paul J
Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Occupational Health, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Department of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Can J Public Health. 2024 Dec 30. doi: 10.17269/s41997-024-00972-9.
Fist fighting among hockey players is thought to have long-term impacts on health. Because of methodological concerns of previous studies, we undertook a retrospective cohort study among retired National Hockey League (NHL) players to estimate rates of all-cause mortality according to the cumulative number of fights in their careers.
The cohort comprised male hockey players, excluding goaltenders, who played in the NHL from 1967 to 2022. We compiled their birth and death data, body mass index at entry, and other characteristics of playing. We used the proportional hazards model, with age at retirement as the time axis, to estimate mortality rates through July 31, 2024, in relation to the total number of fights in the NHL. Hazard ratios (HR) were adjusted for body mass index and year starting in the NHL. Mean survival after retirement by fighting status was also computed.
Among the 5411 retired players, 407 had died, 2082 (38.5%) never fought, and 759 (14.0%) fought ≥ 30 times. We found a positive linear response between the total number of fights and the risk of mortality: the adjusted HR per 10 fights was 1.04 (95% CI, 1.01, 1.07). Using this estimate, compared to non-fighters, the HR for five fights was 1.02 (95% CI, 1.00, 1.03), and for 50 fights it was 1.20 (95% CI, 1.02, 1.41). The mean loss of survival among those who fought ≥ 10 times compared with ≤ 1 time was 2.5, 2.1, and 1.5 years for those who started playing in 1970, 1980, and 1992, respectively.
Our findings suggest that fighting in NHL games increases rates of mortality post-retirement, but that these impacts are substantially less than reported previously. We recommend that the NHL establish standardized methods for collecting fight data to more accurately capture the lifetime fighting history and its associated health impacts for its players.
冰球运动员之间的拳击斗殴被认为会对健康产生长期影响。由于先前研究存在方法学问题,我们对退役的国家冰球联盟(NHL)球员进行了一项回顾性队列研究,以根据他们职业生涯中斗殴的累计次数估计全因死亡率。
该队列包括1967年至2022年在NHL打球的男性冰球运动员,但不包括守门员。我们收集了他们的出生和死亡数据、入队时的体重指数以及其他比赛特征。我们使用比例风险模型,以退休年龄为时间轴,估计截至2024年7月31日与在NHL的斗殴总次数相关的死亡率。风险比(HR)根据体重指数和开始在NHL打球的年份进行了调整。还计算了按斗殴状态划分的退休后的平均生存期。
在5411名退休球员中,407人已经死亡,2082人(38.5%)从未参与过斗殴,759人(14.0%)斗殴次数≥30次。我们发现斗殴总次数与死亡风险之间存在正线性关系:每10次斗殴调整后的HR为1.04(95%CI,1.01,1.07)。根据这个估计值,与未参与斗殴者相比,5次斗殴的HR为1.02(95%CI,1.00,1.03),50次斗殴的HR为1.20(95%CI,1.02,1.41)。与斗殴次数≤1次的人相比,斗殴次数≥10次的人,对于1970年、1980年和1992年开始打球的人,平均生存期分别减少2.5年、2.1年和1.5年。
我们的研究结果表明,NHL比赛中的斗殴会增加退休后的死亡率,但这些影响远小于先前报道的情况。我们建议NHL建立收集斗殴数据的标准化方法,以便更准确地记录球员一生的斗殴历史及其相关的健康影响。