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NHL 脑震荡的短期影响:对球员寿命、表现和经济损失的分析。

Short-Term Impact of Concussion in the NHL: An Analysis of Player Longevity, Performance, and Financial Loss.

机构信息

1 Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Baylor College of Medicine , Houston, Texas.

2 Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Summa Health, Akron, Ohio.

出版信息

J Neurotrauma. 2018 Oct 15;35(20):2391-2399. doi: 10.1089/neu.2017.5611. Epub 2018 Jul 2.

Abstract

Many studies have focused on the long-term impact of concussions in professional sports, but few have investigated short-term effects. This study examines concussion effects on individual players in the National Hockey League (NHL) by assessing career length, performance, and salary. Contracts, transactions, injury reports, and performance statistics from 2008-17 were obtained from the official NHL online publication. Players who sustained a concussion were compared with the 2008-17 non-concussed player pool. Career length was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and stratification of player age, experience, and longevity. Player performance and salary changes were evaluated between the years before versus after concussion. Performance and salary changes were compared against non-concussed NHL athletes before/after their career midpoints. Of the 2194 eligible NHL players in the 9-year period, 309 sustained 399 concussions resulting in injury protocol. The probability of playing a full NHL season post-concussion was significantly decreased compared with the non-concussed pool (p < 0.05), specifically 65.0% versus 81.2% at 1 year into a player's career, 49.8% versus 67.4% at 2 years, and 14.6% versus 43.7% at 5 years. Performance was reduced at all non-goalie positions post-concussion (p < 0.05). Players scored 2.5 points/year less following a concussion. The total annualized financial impact from salary reductions after 1 concussion was $57.0 million, with a decrease of $292,000 per year in contract value per athlete. This retrospective study demonstrates that NHL concussions resulting in injury protocol activation lead to shorter career lengths, earnings reductions, and decreased performance when compared with non-concussed controls.

摘要

许多研究都集中在职业体育中的脑震荡的长期影响上,但很少有研究调查短期影响。本研究通过评估职业寿命、表现和薪酬来考察国家冰球联盟(NHL)中个别球员的脑震荡影响。从 NHL 官方在线出版物中获取了 2008-17 年的合同、交易、伤病报告和表现统计数据。将遭受脑震荡的球员与 2008-17 年未遭受脑震荡的球员池进行比较。使用 Kaplan-Meier 生存曲线和球员年龄、经验和寿命分层分析职业寿命。评估脑震荡前后球员表现和薪酬变化。将脑震荡前后与非脑震荡 NHL 运动员的表现和薪酬变化进行比较。在职业生涯中点前后与非脑震荡 NHL 运动员的表现和薪酬进行比较。在 9 年期间,2194 名符合条件的 NHL 球员中,有 309 人遭受 399 次脑震荡导致受伤。与未受脑震荡的球员池相比,脑震荡后完成整个 NHL 赛季的概率明显降低(p<0.05),具体而言,在职业生涯的第 1 年中,分别为 65.0%和 81.2%,第 2 年中,分别为 49.8%和 67.4%,第 5 年中,分别为 14.6%和 43.7%。脑震荡后所有非守门员位置的表现都下降(p<0.05)。脑震荡后球员每年得分减少 2.5 分。1 次脑震荡后,薪酬减少带来的年化财务影响为 5700 万美元,每位运动员的合同价值每年减少 29.2 万美元。这项回顾性研究表明,与非脑震荡对照组相比,导致受伤协议激活的 NHL 脑震荡会导致职业生涯缩短、收入减少和表现下降。

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