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莫桑比克五岁以下儿童发育迟缓的空间异质性及预测因素:地理加权回归分析

Spatial heterogeneity and predictors of stunting among under five children in Mozambique: a geographically weighted regression.

作者信息

Tamir Tadesse Tarik, Tekeba Berhan, Mekonen Enyew Getaneh, Zegeye Alebachew Ferede, Gebrehana Deresse Abebe

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics and Child Health Nursing, School of Nursing, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.

Department of Surgical Nursing, School of Nursing, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2024 Dec 18;12:1502018. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1502018. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Childhood stunting, a major public health concern in many developing countries, is associated with impaired physical and cognitive development, increased risk of infectious diseases, and long-term adverse health and economic consequences. Mozambique is among the countries with the highest stunting rates in sub-Saharan Africa. This study aims to examine the spatial variation and identify the predictors of stunting among children under the age of five years in Mozambique.

METHODS

We utilized children's recode data and geographic coordinates extracted from the 2022-23 Mozambique Demographic and Health Survey dataset. A stratified two-stage cluster sampling approach was employed. The study included a total weighted sample of 3,910 children under the age of five years. A geographically weighted regression was used to identify predictors of stunting.

RESULTS

The prevalence of stunting among children under the age of five in Mozambique was 31.26% (95% CI: 29.88 to 32.65%). The Nampula (46.00%), Cabo Delgado (43.79%), Manica (40.88%), Zambezia (38.27%), Niassa (35.52%), and Tete (34.85%) regions of Mozambique were identified as hotspot areas of stunting. Several factors were significantly associated with the spatial heterogeneity in stunting, where household wealth index (poor and middle categories) and Mother's age (15-19 years) were positively associated with higher occurrence of stunting, while having an employed mother and being a child under 2 years of age were negatively associated with stunting occurrence.

CONCLUSION

The spatial heterogeneity in stunting patterns highlighted by this analysis suggests that a one-size-fits-all approach to address child undernutrition in Mozambique may not be effective. Instead, tailored, location-specific strategies that account for the predictors of stunting are necessary to effectively combat this persistent public health challenge. Policymakers and program implementers should prioritize the hotspot regions for targeted interventions, while also maintaining and strengthening the factors contributing to the lower stunting prevalence in the cold spot areas.

摘要

引言

儿童发育迟缓是许多发展中国家主要的公共卫生问题,与身体和认知发育受损、传染病风险增加以及长期不良健康和经济后果相关。莫桑比克是撒哈拉以南非洲发育迟缓率最高的国家之一。本研究旨在调查莫桑比克五岁以下儿童发育迟缓的空间差异并确定其预测因素。

方法

我们利用了从2022 - 23年莫桑比克人口与健康调查数据集中提取的儿童编码数据和地理坐标。采用分层两阶段整群抽样方法。该研究共纳入3910名五岁以下儿童的加权样本。使用地理加权回归来确定发育迟缓的预测因素。

结果

莫桑比克五岁以下儿童发育迟缓的患病率为31.26%(95%置信区间:29.88%至32.65%)。莫桑比克的楠普拉(46.00%)、德尔加杜角(43.79%)、马尼卡(40.88%)、赞比西亚(38.27%)、尼亚萨(35.52%)和太特(34.85%)地区被确定为发育迟缓的热点地区。几个因素与发育迟缓的空间异质性显著相关,其中家庭财富指数(贫困和中等类别)以及母亲年龄(15 - 19岁)与发育迟缓发生率较高呈正相关,而母亲就业以及孩子年龄在2岁以下与发育迟缓发生率呈负相关。

结论

该分析突出的发育迟缓模式的空间异质性表明,在莫桑比克采用一刀切的方法解决儿童营养不良问题可能无效。相反,需要制定针对特定地点的量身定制策略,考虑发育迟缓的预测因素,以有效应对这一持续存在的公共卫生挑战。政策制定者和项目实施者应优先考虑在热点地区进行有针对性的干预,同时也要维持和加强有助于降低冷点地区发育迟缓患病率的因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/135b/11688635/335ae98d79bb/fpubh-12-1502018-g001.jpg

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