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感染和接种疫苗后多个时间点诱导产生的SARS-CoV-2抗体的动态变化及趋势

Dynamic Changes and Trends of SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies Induced by Infection and Vaccination Across Multiple Time Points.

作者信息

Zhang Shihan, Kong Xiaoxiao, Zhen Qian, Wei Ye, Shi Chao, Ding Songning, Chen Liling, Dong Chen, Tian Hua, Li Chuchu, Zhou Lu, Zhang Yazhen, Zhu Fengcai, Hu Jianli, Bao Changjun, Jin Hui, Xu Ke, Zhu Liguo

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.

Key Laboratory of Environmental Medicine Engineering, Ministry of Education, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.

出版信息

J Med Virol. 2025 Jan;97(1):e70161. doi: 10.1002/jmv.70161.

Abstract

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, increasingly complex vaccination and infection histories have made it urgent to investigate the antibody dynamics in populations with hybrid immunity. This study aimed to explore the multi-time-point dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody levels in a community-based population in Jiangsu Province, China, following the Omicron BA.5 wave, as well as the long-term persistence of IgG antibodies nearly 2 years postinfection. A total of 2737 participants across Jiangsu Province were followed up at three different time points over a 6-month period (December 2022-June 2023). Additionally, a cross-sectional serological survey was conducted in October 2024, involving 230 participants to assess long-term antibody persistence. We used generalized additive models to fit antibody dynamics curves, generalized linear mixed models to explore factors influencing antibody levels, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis to estimate cumulative seroreversion rates. Our findings revealed that, following the large-scale Omicron BA.5 infections, over 85% of the population initially exhibited seropositive IgG levels. Older individuals (> 65 years) had significantly lower antibody levels and faster rates of decline compared to younger participants. Booster immunization reduced the risk of seroreversion by 59.79% (95% CI: 29.63%-76.46%), while individuals with multiple infections experienced slower antibody decay. In the cross-sectional survey conducted 22 months postinfection, the IgG seropositivity rate remained high, exceeding 98%, indicating sustained immunity at the population level. This study provides valuable insights into the dynamics and persistence of IgG antibody levels following large-scale infection. The results underscore the importance of tailored booster immunization strategies to sustain long-term immunity, especially in vulnerable groups like the elderly. Additionally, ongoing serological monitoring is essential for assessing population immunity and informing future vaccination strategies.

摘要

随着新冠疫情的持续,日益复杂的疫苗接种和感染史使得研究具有混合免疫力人群的抗体动态变得刻不容缓。本研究旨在探讨中国江苏省一个社区人群在奥密克戎BA.5毒株流行后SARS-CoV-2 IgG抗体水平的多时间点动态变化,以及感染后近2年IgG抗体的长期持久性。在2022年12月至2023年6月的6个月期间,对江苏省的2737名参与者在三个不同时间点进行了随访。此外,在2024年10月进行了一项横断面血清学调查,涉及230名参与者,以评估抗体的长期持久性。我们使用广义相加模型拟合抗体动态曲线,广义线性混合模型探索影响抗体水平的因素,并使用Kaplan-Meier生存分析估计累积血清阳转率。我们的研究结果显示,在奥密克戎BA.5毒株大规模感染后,超过85%的人群最初表现为IgG抗体血清阳性。与年轻参与者相比,年龄较大的个体(>65岁)抗体水平显著较低,下降速度更快。加强免疫使血清阳转风险降低了59.79%(95%置信区间:29.63%-76.46%),而多次感染的个体抗体衰减较慢。在感染后22个月进行的横断面调查中,IgG血清阳性率仍然很高,超过98%,表明在人群层面存在持续免疫力。本研究为大规模感染后IgG抗体水平的动态变化和持久性提供了有价值的见解。结果强调了制定个性化加强免疫策略以维持长期免疫力的重要性,特别是在老年人等弱势群体中。此外,持续的血清学监测对于评估人群免疫力和为未来的疫苗接种策略提供信息至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4238/11711922/2850bc012188/JMV-97-e70161-g002.jpg

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