The Impact of Missing Data on Parameter Estimation: Three Examples in Computerized Adaptive Testing.

In computerized adaptive testing (CAT), examinees see items targeted to their ability level. Postoperational data have a high degree of missing information relative to designs where everyone answers all questions. Item responses are observed over a restricted range of abilities, reducing item-total score correlations. However, if the adaptive item selection depends only on observed responses, the data are missing at random (MAR). We simulated data from three different testing designs (common items, randomly selected items, and CAT) and found that it was possible to re-estimate both person and item parameters from postoperational CAT data. In a multidimensional CAT, we show that it is necessary to include all responses from the testing phase to avoid violating missing data assumptions. We also observed that some CAT designs produced "reversals" where item discriminations became negative causing dramatic under and over-estimation of abilities. Our results apply to situations where researchers work with data drawn from adaptive testing or from instructional tools with adaptive delivery. To avoid bias, researchers must make sure they use all the data necessary to meet the MAR assumptions.