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帕累托身陷囹圄。

Pareto in Prison.

作者信息

Morgan Mark A, Long Joshua S, Logan Matthew W, Benton Frank

机构信息

Department of Criminal Justice and Security Studies, University of Dayton, Dayton, Ohio, USA.

School of Criminology and Justice Studies, University of Massachusetts-Lowell, Lowell, Massachusetts, USA.

出版信息

Behav Sci Law. 2025 May-Jun;43(3):299-313. doi: 10.1002/bsl.2716. Epub 2025 Jan 16.

Abstract

The Pareto principle is based on the concept that roughly 80% of outcomes are generated by 20% of inputs, efforts, or contributors within a group. Using a national sample of U.S. prison inmates, we examined various percentile rankings of self-reported institutional misconduct to determine how much disorder is created behind bars by the most prolific offenders. Findings revealed that, regardless of sex, the top 20% of inmates were responsible for approximately 90% of all rule violations and write-ups received. These general patterns remained similar even after adjusting infractions for time served in prison. Further analyses indicated that membership within these high-rate groups was often significantly predicted by those who were younger, black, had more extensive criminal histories, committed violent crimes, resided in state facilities, anticipated being released, used drugs prior to their arrest, were diagnosed with a personality disorder or ADHD, and exhibited worse negative affect. Some sex-specific effects were also observed. The disproportionate impact these chronic offenders have on the prison environment is detrimental to all individuals who live and work around them. Future research should investigate specific types of misconduct, distinct time intervals of incarceration, and facility effects such as management style, security levels, or offender composition.

摘要

帕累托原则基于这样一个概念

在一个群体中,大约80%的结果是由20%的投入、努力或贡献者产生的。我们以美国监狱囚犯的全国样本为基础,研究了自我报告的监狱不当行为的各种百分位数排名,以确定最频繁违规的罪犯在狱中造成了多少混乱。研究结果显示,无论性别如何,前20%的囚犯对所有违规行为和收到的书面报告负有约90%的责任。即使在对监狱服刑时间进行违规行为调整之后,这些总体模式仍然相似。进一步分析表明,这些高犯罪率群体中的成员身份往往可由以下因素显著预测:年龄较小、黑人、有更广泛的犯罪史、实施暴力犯罪、居住在州立监狱、预计会被释放、被捕前使用过毒品、被诊断患有精神疾病或注意力缺陷多动障碍,以及表现出更严重的负面影响。还观察到了一些性别特异性影响。这些惯犯对监狱环境造成的不成比例影响,对在他们周围生活和工作的所有人都不利。未来的研究应调查不当行为的具体类型、不同的监禁时间间隔,以及诸如管理风格、安全级别或罪犯构成等设施影响。

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