Li Hongyan, Yu Dongmei, Zhang Yiming, Yuan Yifei
School of Business Administration, Liaoning Technical University, Huludao, 125105, People's Republic of China.
Institute for Optimization and Decision Analytics, Liaoning Technical University, Fuxin, 123000, People's Republic of China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 23;15(1):2895. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-86129-1.
Under the backdrop of frequent emergencies, the rational layout of emergency service facilities (ESF) and the effective allocation of emergency supplies have emerged as crucial in determining the timeliness of post-disaster response. By adequately accounting for potential uncertainties and carrying out comprehensive pre-planning, the robustness of location-allocation decisions can be significantly improved. This paper delves into the ESF network design problem under demand uncertainty and formulates this problem as a two-stage robust optimization model. The presented model defines a generalized budget uncertainty set to capture victims' uncertain demand and minimizes the sum of the costs involved in the two stages. The objective function integrates the input cost in the preparedness phase, the deprivation cost from the victims' perspective and the environmental impact cost responding to sustainable development in the response phase, which respectively correspond to the comprehensive optimization of the deployment of ESF, the distribution of emergency supplies and the implementation of sustainable measures. Subsequently, we employ the column and constraint generation (C&CG) algorithm to solve the proposed model and take the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan as a case to verify the effectiveness of the model and algorithm. Finally, we examine the influence of demand uncertainty and environmental impact cost on the optimal solution, yielding valuable managerial insights.
在突发事件频发的背景下,应急服务设施的合理布局以及应急物资的有效配置已成为决定灾后响应及时性的关键因素。通过充分考虑潜在的不确定性并进行全面的预先规划,可以显著提高选址-分配决策的稳健性。本文深入研究了需求不确定情况下的应急服务设施网络设计问题,并将该问题构建为两阶段稳健优化模型。所提出的模型定义了一个广义预算不确定性集以捕捉受灾群众的不确定需求,并使两个阶段所涉及的成本总和最小化。目标函数整合了准备阶段的投入成本、从受灾群众角度出发的匮乏成本以及响应阶段对应可持续发展的环境影响成本,它们分别对应应急服务设施部署、应急物资分配以及可持续措施实施的综合优化。随后,我们采用列生成与约束生成(C&CG)算法来求解所提出的模型,并以武汉的新冠肺炎疫情为例来验证模型和算法的有效性。最后,我们考察需求不确定性和环境影响成本对最优解的影响,从而得出有价值的管理见解。