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[中国先天性心脏病合并心力衰竭的疾病负担与临床状况:一项调查与分析]

[Disease burden and clinical status of congenital heart disease combined with heart failure in China: a survey and analysis].

作者信息

Sheng Z X, Yuan Y X, Wang F J, Chen Z, Guo Y, Shen X, Liang X C, Liu L J, Li J J, Yan X L, Pan B, Tian J

机构信息

Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, China International Science and Technology Cooperation Base of Child Development and Critical Disorders, Key Laboratory of Children's Important Organ Development and Diseases of Chongqing Municipal Health Commission, National Clinical Key Cardiovascular Specialty, Chongqing 400014, China.

Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Henan Children's Hospital, Zhengzhou Children's Hospital, Zhengzhou 450018, China.

出版信息

Zhonghua Er Ke Za Zhi. 2025 Feb 2;63(2):148-156. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112140-20241031-00772.

Abstract

To investigate the disease burden, clinical characteristics and independent risk factors affecting in-hospital outcomes of children with congenital heart disease (CHD) combined with heart failure (HF) in China. (1) Descriptive study: based on the global burden of disease study 2021, available data on children under 15 years of age with CHD and HF in China from 1990 to 2021 were collected. The prevalence and trends in different age subgroups (<1 year, 1-<2 years, 2-<5 years, 5-<10 years, 10-<15 years) were analyzed, and the annual percentage change (EAPC) was estimated using linear regression. (2) Retrospective cohort study: a total of 1 062 children with CHD and HF from a multicenter study on pediatric HF in China were included. The children were divided into two groups:<2 years group and 2-<18 years group. Data on demographics, clinical features, diagnosis, treatments, and in-hospital outcomes were analyzed. Mann-Whitney test and chi-square test were used for group comparisons.Multivariable Logistic regression was applied to identify factors influencing outcomes (in-hospital mortality and adverse cardiovascular events). (1) From 1990 to 2021, the number of children with CHD and HF in China increased from 333 000 (95% uncertainty interval () 271 000-405 000) to 368 000 (95% 296 000-459 000), a growth of 10.8% (95% 5.0%-16.6%). Concurrently the prevalence rate increased from 104.5 (95% 85.1-127.3) per 100 000 to 142.0 (95% 114.0-176.8) per 100 000, a growth of 35.9% (95% 28.7%-43.0%), with an EAPC of 1.5% (95% 1.2%-1.8%). Although the number of cases in the<1 year and 1-<2 years groups decreased by 41.0% and 25.6%, respectively, the prevalence in all age groups showed an upward trend:<1 year EAPC 0.6% (95% 0.5%-0.7%); 1-<2 years EAPC 0.9% (95% 0.8%-1.0%); 2-<5 years EAPC 1.2% (95% 1.0%-1.4%); 5-<10 years EAPC 1.5% (95% 1.2%-1.8%); 10-<15 years EAPC 2.1% (95% 1.9%-2.3%). (2) The multicenter study revealed that among 1 062 hospitalized children, 528 (49.7%) were male and 534 (50.3%) were female, with the age at admission of 5.4 (2.2,18.2) months. The majority of the children (77.9%, 827/1 062) were under 2 years of age, whereas 22.1% (235/1 062) were aged between 2-<18 years. Children with complex congenital heart defects accounted for the highest proportion (48.6%, 516/1 062), while those with isolated CHD made up 31.5% (335/1 062). Statistically significant differences were observed in several variables in demographics, clinical features, diagnosis, treatments, and outcomes between the two age groups (all <0.05). The use of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (41.1%, 436/1 062) and beta-blockers (8.7%, 92/1 062) was lower in hospitalized children with CHD and HF. Logistic regression identified complex CHD (=7.73, 95% 2.24-26.63; =3.17, 95% 1.92-5.23), pulmonary hyperperfusion (=2.15, 95% 1.01-4.18; =2.00, 95% 1.35-2.97), left ventricular ejection fraction<55% (=2.13, 95% 1.08-4.21; =2.80, 95% 1.45-5.56), arterial oxygen partial pressure (=0.99, 95% 0.98-0.99; =0.99, 95% 0.98-0.99), and serum calcium levels (=0.31, 95% 0.17-0.58; =0.42, 95% 0.28-0.62) as independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality and cardiovascular events. The disease burden of CHD combined with HF in China has shown a continuous upward trend from 1990 to 2021, with higher growth rates in older age groups. Complex CHD, pulmonary hyperperfusion, left ventricular ejection fraction <55%, arterial oxygen partial pressure, and serum calcium concentration are independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality and cardiovascular events.

摘要

为研究中国先天性心脏病(CHD)合并心力衰竭(HF)患儿的疾病负担、临床特征及影响住院结局的独立危险因素。(1)描述性研究:基于2021年全球疾病负担研究,收集了1990年至2021年中国15岁以下CHD合并HF患儿的现有数据。分析了不同年龄亚组(<1岁、1 - <2岁、2 - <5岁、5 - <10岁、10 - <15岁)的患病率及趋势,并采用线性回归估计年度百分比变化(EAPC)。(2)回顾性队列研究:纳入中国一项关于儿童HF的多中心研究中的1062例CHD合并HF患儿。将患儿分为两组:<2岁组和2 - <18岁组。分析人口统计学、临床特征、诊断、治疗及住院结局等数据。采用Mann - Whitney检验和卡方检验进行组间比较。应用多变量Logistic回归识别影响结局(住院死亡率和不良心血管事件)的因素。(1)1990年至2021年,中国CHD合并HF患儿数量从33.3万(95%不确定区间()27.1万 - 40.5万)增至36.8万(95% 29.6万 - 45.9万),增长了10.8%(95% 5.0% - 16.6%)。同期患病率从每10万人104.5(95% 85.1 - 127.3)增至每10万人142.0(95% 114.0 - 176.8),增长了35.9%(95% 28.7% - 43.0%),EAPC为1.5%(95% 1.2% - 1.8%)。尽管<1岁组和1 - <2岁组的病例数分别减少了41.0%和25.6%,但各年龄组患病率均呈上升趋势:<1岁组EAPC为0.6%(95% 0.5% - 0.7%);1 - <2岁组EAPC为0.9%(95% 0.8% - 1.0%);2 - <5岁组EAPC为1.2%(95% 1.0% - 1.4%);5 - <10岁组EAPC为1.5%(95% 1.2% - 1.8%);10 - <15岁组EAPC为2.1%(95% 1.9% - 2.3%)。(2)多中心研究显示,1062例住院患儿中,男性528例(49.7%),女性534例(50.3%),入院年龄为5.4(2.2,18.2)个月。大多数患儿(77.9%,827/1062)年龄<2岁,而22.1%(235/1062)年龄在2 - <18岁之间。复杂先天性心脏病患儿占比最高(48.6%,516/1062),单纯CHD患儿占31.5%(335/1062)。两组在人口统计学、临床特征、诊断、治疗及结局等多个变量上存在统计学显著差异(均<0.05)。CHD合并HF住院患儿中肾素 - 血管紧张素 - 醛固酮系统抑制剂(41.1%,436/1062)和β受体阻滞剂(8.7%,92/1062)的使用率较低。Logistic回归确定复杂CHD(=7.73,95% 2.24 - 26.63;=3.17,95% 1.92 - 5.23)、肺血流灌注过多(=2.15,95% 1.01 - 4.18;=2.00,95% 1.35 - 2.97)、左心室射血分数<55%(=2.13,95% 1.08 - 4.21;=2.80,95% 1.45 - 5.56)、动脉血氧分压(=0.99,95% 0.98 - 0.99;=0.99,95% 0.98 - 0.99)及血清钙水平(=0.31,95% 0.17 - 0.58;=0.42,95% 0.28 - 0.62)为住院死亡率和心血管事件的独立危险因素。1990年至2021年,中国CHD合并HF的疾病负担呈持续上升趋势,老年年龄组增长率更高。复杂CHD、肺血流灌注过多、左心室射血分数<55%、动脉血氧分压及血清钙浓度是住院死亡率和心血管事件的独立危险因素。

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