Zorita Saioa, Milde Katharina, Peña Cerezo Nieves, Aguirre-Such Adriana, Lückerath Daniel, Feliu Torres Efrén
TECNALIA Research & Innovation, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA), Energy, climate, and urban transition, Parque Tecnológico de Bizkaia, Derio, Spain.
Fraunhofer Institute for Intelligent Analysis and Information Systems IAIS, Adaptive Reflective Teams department, Schloss Birlinghoven 1, Sankt Augustin, Germany.
Environ Manage. 2025 May;75(5):1257-1266. doi: 10.1007/s00267-025-02115-3. Epub 2025 Jan 25.
The extent and timescale of climate change impacts remain uncertain, including global temperature increase, sea level rise, and more frequent and intense extreme events. Uncertainties are compounded by cascading effects. Nevertheless, decision-makers must take action. Adaptation pathways, an approach for developing dynamic adaptive policymaking, are widely considered suitable for planning urban or regional climate change adaptation, but often lack integration of measures for disaster risk management. This article emphasizes the need to strengthen Adaptation Pathways by bringing together explicitly slow-onset impacts and sudden climate disasters within the framework of Resilience Pathways. It explores key features of Adaptation Pathways-such as thresholds, performance assessments, and visual tools-to enhance their capacity to address extreme events and foster the integration of Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Management.
气候变化影响的程度和时间尺度仍然不确定，包括全球气温上升、海平面上升以及更频繁和强烈的极端事件。级联效应使不确定性更加复杂。然而，决策者必须采取行动。适应路径作为一种制定动态适应性政策的方法，被广泛认为适用于规划城市或区域气候变化适应，但往往缺乏灾害风险管理措施的整合。本文强调有必要通过在恢复力路径框架内明确整合缓慢发生的影响和突发气候灾害来加强适应路径。它探讨了适应路径的关键特征，如阈值、绩效评估和可视化工具，以增强其应对极端事件的能力，并促进气候变化适应与灾害风险管理的整合。
