Shi Xuejing, Peng Yiyi, Wang Shumin, Zhang Yifan, Zhang Junqing, Song Hao, Cui Yu, Sun Fan, Liu Huili, Xiao Qitao, Hu Ning, Xiao Wei, Griffis Timothy J, Hu Cheng
College of Ecology and Environment, Joint Center for sustainable Forestry in Southern China, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China; Yale-NUIST Center on Atmospheric Environment, Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD), Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China.
College of Ecology and Environment, Joint Center for sustainable Forestry in Southern China, Nanjing Forestry University, Nanjing 210037, China; College of the Environment and Ecology, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, China.
Sci Total Environ. 2025 Feb 15;965:178616. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178616. Epub 2025 Jan 27.
Methane (CH) emissions from the coal industry represent a substantial portion of anthropogenic CH emissions from energy-related activities. China ranks as the world's largest coal producer, where Shanxi Province is one of its major coal production regions and accounts for 20.7 % of the national total coal production. The inherent variability in coal properties, geological conditions, and mining techniques across coal mines introduces significant fluctuations in CH emission characteristics and emission factors (EFs), creating considerable uncertainty when estimating CH emissions in this major coal mining region using traditional emission inventories, thereby introducing large bias in estimating national total CH emissions of China. In this study, we applied a top-down approach to estimate CH emissions in the Taiyuan-Jinzhong Metropolitan (TJM) area of Shanxi Province, using atmospheric CH concentration observed from a 30-meter tower between March 2018 and February 2019. Building upon our previous work, we integrated five emission inventories-EDGAR, GFEI-coal, PRO-coal, GFEI-fuel, and a satellite-based CH emission product-with two inversion methods. Additionally, satellite xCH data were utilized to identify significant emission outliers, which were then calibrated when estimating the CH emission and EF for the region. Our results revealed notable disparities in the magnitude of CH emissions among the five inventories for the TJM region. After applying the MSF and SFBI methods to constrain the prior emission inventories, the posterior CH emissions for the TJM region were estimated at 1.1 × 10 t, 1.0 × 10 t, 1.1 × 10 t, 1.3 × 10 t, and 1.5 × 10 t, respectively, across the five inventories. The derived coal mine CH EF for the TJM region was 9.6 (±1.35) m/t, significantly lower than the previously reported value of 23.2 (±4.9) m/t, highlighting the substantial impact of emission outliers on posterior CH emissions. A comparative analysis with EFs from other studies demonstrated that this value closely aligns with the EF values for coal with low CH content. However, it is important to note that substantial regional variability of coal mining activities can result in significant uncertainty in EFs across different areas. Therefore, we underscore the necessity of establishing a more extensive atmospheric CH observation network to enhance the assessment of regional variations in CH EFs and emissions from coal mining activities.
煤炭行业的甲烷(CH₄)排放占能源相关活动人为CH₄排放的很大一部分。中国是世界上最大的煤炭生产国,山西省是其主要煤炭产区之一,占全国煤炭总产量的20.7%。不同煤矿的煤炭性质、地质条件和采矿技术存在固有差异,导致CH₄排放特征和排放因子(EFs)出现显著波动,使用传统排放清单估算该主要煤炭产区的CH₄排放时会产生相当大的不确定性,从而在估算中国全国CH₄总排放量时引入较大偏差。在本研究中,我们采用自上而下的方法,利用2018年3月至2019年2月从一座30米高塔观测到的大气CH₄浓度,估算山西省太原 - 晋中大都市区(TJM)的CH₄排放。基于我们之前的工作,我们将五个排放清单——EDGAR、GFEI - 煤炭、PRO - 煤炭、GFEI - 燃料以及一个基于卫星的CH₄排放产品——与两种反演方法相结合。此外,利用卫星xCH₄数据识别显著的排放异常值,然后在估算该地区的CH₄排放和EF时对其进行校准。我们的结果显示,TJM地区五个清单的CH₄排放规模存在显著差异。在应用MSF和SFBI方法约束先验排放清单后,TJM地区五个清单的后验CH₄排放量分别估计为1.1×10⁶ t、1.0×10⁶ t、1.1×10⁶ t、1.3×10⁶ t和1.5×10⁶ t。TJM地区得出的煤矿CH₄排放因子为9.6(±1.35)m³/t,显著低于先前报告的23.2(±4.9)m³/t的值,突出了排放异常值对后验CH₄排放的重大影响。与其他研究的排放因子进行比较分析表明,该值与低CH₄含量煤炭的排放因子值密切相符。然而,需要注意的是,煤炭开采活动的区域差异很大,可能导致不同地区排放因子存在显著不确定性。因此,我们强调有必要建立更广泛的大气CH₄观测网络,以加强对CH₄排放因子和煤炭开采活动排放区域差异的评估。