An Bo-Wen, Xu Pei-Yuan, Pan Dong, Li Xiao-Tian, Wang Dong
College of Economics and Finance, Huaqiao University, Quanzhou, 362021, China.
Department of Basic Teaching and Research, Xinjiang College of Science & Technology, Korla, 841000, China.
Sci Rep. 2025 Jan 29;15(1):3618. doi: 10.1038/s41598-025-87994-6.
High carbon sectors (agriculture, industry, construction, and transportation) contribute nearly 85% of carbon emissions, highlighting the urgent need for transitioning towards cleaner energy structures in these sectors. This study utilizes the undesirable SBM model to assess TFEE (total factor energy efficiency) across the total sector and high carbon sectors. It decomposes TFEE from an energy structural perspective into coal, oil, natural gas, and electric heat efficiencies. Using a variance-like decomposition model, it analyzes TFEE at two levels to examine how changes in specific sectors and energy categories affect total sector TFEE. From 2010 to 2021, China's total sector TFEE increased from 0.542 to 0.676, with electric heat and coal identified as critical factors limiting TFEE improvements. Among the four high carbon sectors, construction exhibited a significant increase in TFEE, agriculture showed a steep rise, the industry demonstrated a U-shaped trend with a turning point in 2015, and transportation experienced a slight decline. TFEE exhibits a descending order among sectors, with agriculture ranking highest, followed by construction, industry, and transportation. Similarly, the total factor efficiencies of energy types show a hierarchical structure, with oil being the most efficient, followed by electric heat, natural gas, and coal. Construction dominates TFEE changes at the sectoral level, contributing 58.87%, while coal contributes over 30% at the energy category level. The decomposition results for each province further indicate that both sectoral structure and energy structure significantly impact the changes in TFEE, and this influence also exhibits regional heterogeneity.
高碳行业(农业、工业、建筑和交通运输业)的碳排放量占近85%,凸显了这些行业向更清洁能源结构转型的迫切需求。本研究利用非期望SBM模型评估全行业和高碳行业的全要素能源效率(TFEE)。它从能源结构角度将TFEE分解为煤炭、石油、天然气和电热效率。使用类似方差分解模型,在两个层面分析TFEE,以检验特定行业和能源类别的变化如何影响全行业TFEE。2010年至2021年,中国全行业TFEE从0.542提高到0.676,电热和煤炭被确定为限制TFEE提高的关键因素。在四个高碳行业中,建筑业TFEE显著提高,农业大幅上升,工业呈现U形趋势且在2015年出现转折点,交通运输业略有下降。TFEE在各行业中呈递减顺序,农业最高,其次是建筑业、工业和交通运输业。同样,能源类型的全要素效率呈现层次结构,石油效率最高,其次是电热、天然气和煤炭。建筑业在行业层面主导TFEE变化,贡献率为58.87%,而煤炭在能源类别层面贡献率超过30%。各省的分解结果进一步表明,行业结构和能源结构均对TFEE变化有显著影响,且这种影响也存在区域异质性。