Ndovu Allan, Chen Chen, Schwarz Lara, Lasky Emma, Weiser Sheri D, Benmarhnia Tarik
Department of Emergency Medicine, Highland Hospital-Alameda Health System, Oakland, California, USA.
Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, California, USA.
Environ Health Perspect. 2025 Jan;133(1):17010. doi: 10.1289/EHP14236. Epub 2025 Jan 30.
The increasing frequency and severity of extreme heat events due to climate change present unique risks to children and adolescents. There is a lack of evidence regarding how heat's impacts on pediatric patients vary spatially and how structural and sociodemographic factors drive this heterogeneity.
We examined the association between extreme heat events and pediatric acute care utilization in California for 19 distinct health conditions. We then assessed how extreme heat's consequences varied at the ZIP code level and identified environmental justice metrics that modulated children's vulnerability to extreme heat.
This study analyzed 7.2 million unscheduled hospitalizations and emergency department visits for children years old in California between May and September from 2005 to 2019. We first utilized a time-stratified case-crossover design to generate statewide estimates for the association between extreme heat events and care utilization. We then implemented a within-community matched design coupled with a Bayesian hierarchical model to generate spatially varying effect estimates. Finally, we conducted a random effects meta-regression to examine how community-level characteristics modified heat's impacts across ZIP codes.
Extreme heat events were associated with substantial increases in acute care utilization for all causes [odds ratio ; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03, 1.04] and were attributable for over 30,000 excess acute care utilizations during the study period. Extreme heat events were also associated with increases in heat-related illness (; 95% CI: 1.49, 1.58); endocrine, nutritional, and metabolic disorders (; 95% CI: 1.1, 1.16); other signs and symptoms (; 95% CI: 1.06, 1.08); and injury and poisoning (; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.08). There was substantial spatial heterogeneity in extreme heat events effects, especially in coastal metropolitan areas. Communities with lower incomes and education levels, less access to insurance and air conditioning, and higher percentages of Black, Hispanic, and Pacific Islander residents were most vulnerable during extreme heat events.
Extreme heat events in California are associated with increased pediatric care utilization. There is significant variation in heat's consequences, and historically disadvantaged and under-resourced communities are most impacted. These findings suggest that interventions designed to improve heat resilience should be targeted to protect vulnerable children. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP14236.
气候变化导致极端高温事件的频率和严重程度不断增加,给儿童和青少年带来了独特风险。关于高温对儿科患者的影响如何在空间上变化,以及结构和社会人口因素如何导致这种异质性,目前缺乏相关证据。
我们研究了加利福尼亚州19种不同健康状况下极端高温事件与儿科急性护理利用之间的关联。然后,我们评估了极端高温的后果在邮政编码层面上是如何变化的,并确定了调节儿童对极端高温脆弱性的环境正义指标。
本研究分析了2005年至2019年5月至9月期间加利福尼亚州720万名儿童的非计划住院和急诊就诊情况。我们首先采用时间分层病例交叉设计,以生成全州范围内极端高温事件与护理利用之间关联的估计值。然后,我们实施了社区内匹配设计,并结合贝叶斯层次模型,以生成空间变化效应估计值。最后,我们进行了随机效应元回归,以研究社区层面特征如何改变邮政编码区域内高温的影响。
极端高温事件与所有原因导致的急性护理利用大幅增加相关[比值比;95%置信区间(CI):1.03,1.04],并且在研究期间可归因于超过30000次额外的急性护理利用。极端高温事件还与与热相关疾病的增加相关(;95%CI:1.49,1.58);内分泌、营养和代谢紊乱(;95%CI:1.1,1.16);其他体征和症状(;95%CI:1.06,1.08);以及伤害和中毒(;95%CI:1.05,1.08)。极端高温事件的影响存在显著的空间异质性,尤其是在沿海大都市地区。在极端高温事件期间收入和教育水平较低、保险和空调获取机会较少、黑人和西班牙裔以及太平洋岛民居民比例较高的社区最为脆弱。
加利福尼亚州的极端高温事件与儿科护理利用增加有关。高温后果存在显著差异,历史上处于不利地位和资源不足的社区受到的影响最大。这些发现表明,旨在提高耐热能力的干预措施应针对性地保护脆弱儿童。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP14236。