Babchishin Kelly M, Lee Seung C, Eke Angela W, Seto Michael C
Department of Psychology, Carleton University, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
University of Ottawa's Institute of Mental Health Research, The Royal Ottawa Health Care Group, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Sex Offending. 2022 Dec 13;17:e7229. doi: 10.5964/sotrap.7229. eCollection 2022.
The current study examined the extent to which the temporal order of sexual offending may be risk-relevant for men with Child Sexual Exploitation Material (CSEM; also referred to as child pornography) offences. We categorized 85 men who had committed two distinct sexual offences (CSEM or contact sexual offence) into three groups: (1) 47% (n = 40) followed a stable pattern, that is, men with CSEM offences who then committed a new CSEM offence; (2) 41% (n = 35) followed a de-escalation pattern, that is, men with contact sexual offences who then committed a CSEM offence; (3) and 12% (n = 10) followed an escalation pattern, that is, men with CSEM offences who then committed a contact sexual offence. Compared to the other groups, the stable group had more sexual interest in children, the de-escalation group had a younger age at first police involvement and more prior offending, and the escalation group had more substance use problems. We then examined recidivism (any new offence after the second sexual offence) and found that the escalation group had the highest 5-year and 7-year reoffending rates (start of follow-up: opportunity after the second sexual offence) for any crime, any non-sexual violence, any violence (including contact sexual offences), and any contact sexual recidivism. The de-escalation and stable groups had the highest CSEM recidivism rates. The current study suggests that ordering of offending within men adjudicated for CSEM offences is risk-relevant and that those who fit the escalation pattern may be at higher risk to reoffend.
本研究考察了性犯罪的时间顺序对涉及儿童性剥削材料（CSEM；也称为儿童色情制品）犯罪的男性而言，在多大程度上与风险相关。我们将85名实施了两种不同性犯罪（CSEM或接触性犯罪）的男性分为三组：（1）47%（n = 40）遵循稳定模式，即先有CSEM犯罪，之后又实施新的CSEM犯罪的男性；（2）41%（n = 35）遵循降级模式，即先有接触性犯罪，之后实施CSEM犯罪的男性；（3）12%（n = 10）遵循升级模式，即先有CSEM犯罪，之后实施接触性犯罪的男性。与其他组相比，稳定组对儿童有更多的性兴趣，降级组首次被警方介入时年龄更小且有更多前科，升级组有更多物质使用问题。然后我们考察了再犯情况（第二次性犯罪后的任何新犯罪），发现升级组在任何犯罪、任何非性暴力、任何暴力（包括接触性犯罪）以及任何接触性犯罪再犯方面，5年和7年的再犯率最高（随访开始：第二次性犯罪后的时机）。降级组和稳定组的CSEM再犯率最高。本研究表明，对于因CSEM犯罪而被判决的男性，犯罪顺序与风险相关，符合升级模式的人可能有更高的再犯风险。
