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即时未来:借助科幻小说对替代性近期未来想象的实验性研究。

Instant Futures: an experimental study of the imagination of alternative near futures thanks to science fiction.

作者信息

Kloetzer Laure, Kloetzer Laurent

机构信息

Institute of Psychology and Education, University of Neuchâtel, Neuchâtel, Switzerland.

, Collectif Zanzibar, France.

出版信息

Integr Psychol Behav Sci. 2025 Feb 5;59(1):25. doi: 10.1007/s12124-024-09885-1.

Abstract

Following Vygotsky's seminal work, sociocultural psychology has developed a powerful theory of imagination, considered as a process with mutual and transformative impacts with the social world. In this paper, we focus on the imagination of the future, which is an arena of special social and political contestation. We argue for integrating experimental methods into the scientific study of the re-composition, or synthesis process, in the imagination of the future. Provoking the imagination of the future in well-structured conditions allows for intra and interpersonal comparisons, as well as for comparisons through time. We introduce an experimental task, a "protokool", inspired by the work of a French group of science fiction writers, "le collectif Zanzibar"; we also suggest a way to analyse the data collected through this "telescope into the imagination of the future" looking at a specific process of imagining the future in dystopian and utopian ways. Finally, we present some main findings from the analysis of a corpus of 186 narratives collected in a 4-year study with Bachelor students in psychology and education. We show that the process of imagining the future is asymetrical for dystopian and utopian futures. We also point at some major patterns in these imaginations of the future, and evolutions over the four years. The research has theoretical and methodological implications for the study of the imagination of the future in sociocultural psychology.

摘要

继维果茨基的开创性著作之后,社会文化心理学发展出了一种强大的想象理论,该理论将想象视为一个与社会世界具有相互和变革性影响的过程。在本文中,我们聚焦于对未来的想象,这是一个特殊的社会和政治争论领域。我们主张将实验方法整合到对未来想象中的重新组合或综合过程的科学研究中。在结构良好的条件下激发对未来的想象,可以进行个体内部和人际间的比较,以及跨时间的比较。我们引入了一项受法国科幻作家团体“桑给巴尔集体”作品启发的实验任务,即“protokool”;我们还提出了一种分析通过这个“通向未来想象的望远镜”收集的数据的方法,该方法着眼于以反乌托邦和乌托邦方式想象未来的特定过程。最后,我们展示了在一项对心理学和教育学专业本科学生进行的为期四年的研究中收集的186篇叙事语料库分析的一些主要发现。我们表明,对于反乌托邦和乌托邦式的未来,想象过程是不对称的。我们还指出了这些对未来的想象中的一些主要模式,以及四年中的演变情况。该研究对社会文化心理学中未来想象的研究具有理论和方法上的启示。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f535/11799064/dff14e7df604/12124_2024_9885_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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