Hajizadeh Alireza, Hafezi Reza, Torabi Fatemeh, Akbari Sari Ali, Tajvar Maryam
Department of Health Management, Policy and Economics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Department of Science and Technology Futures Studies, National Research Institute for Science Policy (NRISP), Tehran, Iran.
Ethiop J Health Sci. 2025 Jan;35(1):51-62. doi: 10.4314/ejhs.v35i1.8.
Population aging significantly affects the social, economic, and political landscapes of countries, including their health systems. This study aimed to develop a conceptual framework that illustrates the consequences of population aging on the functions and goals of health systems.
This multi-method study consisted of four stages. First, the WHO-2000 framework for health systems was selected after a comprehensive review and consensus. Second, a systematic review identified the impacts of population aging. Third, an initial conceptual framework was designed. Finally, the framework was validated, completed, and finalized through semi-structured interviews.
The study identified 120 concepts related to the consequences of population aging, which were categorized within the functions and goals of the WHO framework. Key consequences for "stewardship" included adapting to demographic changes, modifying system design, and enhancing performance assessment. "Creating resources" faces increased demand, particularly for trained healthcare workers and geriatric care teams. "Financing" requires sustainable resources and strategic purchasing to address the higher healthcare costs associated with an aging population. "Service delivery" needs to focus on meeting the complex needs of older adults. The goals of health systems are also impacted, with implications for improving health outcomes, financial fairness, and responsiveness to non-medical expectations, including a client-oriented approach and respect for vulnerable older adults.
Adopting strategies and policies based on these identified consequences, coupled with effective implementation, will help policymakers manage the impacts of population aging within health systems.
人口老龄化对各国的社会、经济和政治格局产生重大影响,包括其卫生系统。本研究旨在构建一个概念框架,以阐明人口老龄化对卫生系统功能和目标的影响。
这项多方法研究包括四个阶段。首先,在全面审查并达成共识后,选择了世界卫生组织2000年的卫生系统框架。其次,系统评价确定了人口老龄化的影响。第三,设计了一个初步的概念框架。最后,通过半结构化访谈对该框架进行验证、完善和定稿。
该研究确定了120个与人口老龄化后果相关的概念,这些概念在世卫组织框架的功能和目标范围内进行了分类。“治理”方面的关键后果包括适应人口结构变化、修改系统设计和加强绩效评估。“资源筹集”面临需求增加,特别是对训练有素的医护人员和老年护理团队的需求。“筹资”需要可持续资源和战略采购,以应对与老龄化人口相关的更高医疗成本。“服务提供”需要专注于满足老年人的复杂需求。卫生系统的目标也受到影响,对改善健康结果、财务公平性以及对非医疗期望的响应能力产生影响,包括以客户为导向的方法和对弱势老年人的尊重。
基于这些已确定的后果采取战略和政策,并有效实施,将有助于政策制定者应对卫生系统内人口老龄化的影响。